Fine-Diaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-06 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 42% $-10

Other

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$35	41	41	+0	Up	$-5	05-13 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$15	15	5	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 18:56
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	3	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-12 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$3	200	0	+200	Up	$-3	05-11 17:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-13 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-12 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-11 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Up	$-2	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-11 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	0	9	-9	open	—	06-06 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-11 18:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-13 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 21:30:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x1d8236…
05-13 19:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0x1bebd1…
05-13 19:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc93008…
05-13 19:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8b44c9…
05-13 18:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x764d9e…
05-13 18:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc434db…
05-13 16:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x39e513…
05-13 15:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xcb287b…
05-13 15:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa307c3…
05-13 15:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c9d48…
05-13 15:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7551bb…
05-12 08:42:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x962b47…
05-12 08:42:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x7d7d25…
05-12 02:47:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x487b9b…
05-12 02:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe69b10…
05-12 02:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf03f96…
05-12 02:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x25787d…
05-12 02:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb88bc1…
05-12 02:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xb22181…
05-12 02:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1e3499…
05-12 02:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4dfc56…
05-12 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x71c531…
05-11 20:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xd127e7…
05-11 20:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x91ebab…
05-11 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd0dd26…
05-11 19:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x26d6a4…
05-11 18:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xc0084b…
05-11 18:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2cef24…
05-11 18:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x7c1675…
05-11 18:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb0abad…
05-11 18:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf1d92d…
05-11 18:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6ff9d5…
05-11 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1647f8…
05-11 17:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x976c65…
05-11 17:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2633ae…
05-11 17:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08e631…
05-11 17:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x8ab54a…
05-11 17:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1f1642…