Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

$128

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-09 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$29

Politics

35% 100% +$27

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Crypto

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No		+67	$66	100¢	$67	+$1	10-09 08:22
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+61	$61	100¢	$61	+$0	10-09 08:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$407	226	188	+38	No	+$5	03-20 07:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$394	400	0	+400	No	+$6	01-22 07:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$380	242	140	+102	No	+$2	06-29 07:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	1	$379	381	0	+381	No	+$2	01-03 12:16
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$260	262	0	+262	No	+$2	05-07 05:37
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$230	232	0	+232	No	+$2	04-14 07:00
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$225	228	0	+228	No	+$3	02-01 12:08
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$200	209	0	+209	No	+$9	04-18 12:39
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	03-20 07:05
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$188	191	0	+191	No	+$3	03-04 09:13
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$188	190	0	+190	No	+$2	06-13 14:15
solana above 90 on february 1	1	$181	182	0	+182	Yes	+$1	02-01 12:12
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	1	$176	178	0	+178	No	+$2	04-14 07:00
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$169	170	0	+170	Yes	+$1	02-25 06:06
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$165	168	0	+168	No	+$3	05-07 05:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$160	163	0	+163	No	+$3	07-20 05:06
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	1	$160	162	0	+162	No	+$2	08-05 03:51
iran leadership change by august 31 669	1	$144	147	0	+147	No	+$3	08-05 03:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$144	145	0	+145	Yes	+$1	06-29 07:18
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	1	$140	142	0	+142	No	+$2	07-20 05:07
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	07-20 05:07
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	08-05 03:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	09-25 06:41
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$120	121	0	+121	Yes	+$1	09-18 11:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$66	67	0	+67	open	—	10-09 08:22
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	10-09 08:28
bitcoin up or down on january 3	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	01-03 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 08:28:09	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x208d63…
10-09 08:22:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x745675…
09-25 06:41:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xa188a5…
09-18 11:11:57	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x25055c…
08-05 03:52:26	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x6833a2…
08-05 03:51:33	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x055285…
08-05 03:51:00	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x3acc30…
07-20 05:07:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x480cb8…
07-20 05:07:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x417d0d…
07-20 05:06:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$160	0x609abd…
06-29 07:18:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x78cb84…
06-29 07:16:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x32512e…
06-13 14:16:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0x25b614…
06-13 14:15:07	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x639c37…
05-07 05:37:40	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0xf6ed52…
05-07 05:37:17	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0x51674c…
04-18 12:39:54	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xa0c2cc…
04-14 07:00:45	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	No	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0xd2638e…
04-14 07:00:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0x04e209…
03-20 07:05:11	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc3a05b…
03-20 07:02:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0x05ff39…
03-04 09:13:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	191	99¢	$188	0x42b546…
03-04 09:11:05	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	226	97¢	$220	0xf4afd8…
02-25 06:06:02	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0xf73f68…
02-01 12:12:02	solana above 90 on february 1	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x7442f8…
02-01 12:08:38	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	228	98¢	$225	0xb6b2be…
01-22 07:53:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	400	99¢	$394	0x7beac9…
01-03 12:16:19	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	No	BUY	381	99¢	$379	0x420533…
01-03 12:15:13	bitcoin up or down on january 3	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b5d9c…