Distinct-Rheumatism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$286

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-18 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

26% — —

Crypto

20% 33% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+45	$10	14¢	$6	$-4	06-03 20:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	2	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	02-14 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 17:39
btc updown 5m 1770936300	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	02-12 22:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 19:59
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$13	119	0	+119	open	—	02-19 22:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$12	58	0	+58	open	—	02-16 21:09
will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	2	$11	27	0	+27	open	—	02-19 22:39
will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-12 22:57
will israel strike gaza on february 15 2026	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	02-14 17:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	06-03 20:43
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-09 00:09
will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	1	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	02-09 00:10
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 20:37
will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	02-17 20:59
will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	02-20 09:14
will israel strike gaza on february 22 2026	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	02-22 14:14
will israel strike gaza on february 24 2026	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-23 20:21
will israel strike gaza on february 23 2026	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-22 22:02
will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-20 09:14
will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	02-14 17:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	1	$4	22	0	+22	open	—	02-16 21:09
btc updown 15m 1770594300	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	02-08 23:51
will bernie sanders say epstein during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	02-12 23:01
will bernie sanders say obama during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	02-12 23:02
will israel strike gaza on march 3 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-02 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-19 20:59
will israel strike gaza on february 26 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	02-25 21:29
will bernie sanders say affordability during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	02-12 23:01
will israel strike gaza on february 27 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 21:30
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-28 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 20:42:22	will the announcers say adidas during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316343	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa3718f…
06-18 20:39:40	will trump say nuclear during medal of honor ceremony on june 18 20260618143625488	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1efcdd…
06-18 20:39:26	will trump say vietnam during medal of honor ceremony on june 18 20260618143625484	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7d5a20…
06-18 20:37:04	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751357	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8057b4…
06-16 19:53:55	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd4299d…
06-07 11:32:58	will imagine be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7c103a…
06-07 11:32:39	will people be said 100 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 8	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5b85f2…
06-07 11:32:01	will starmer say european union during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137143	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x92780a…
06-07 11:31:34	will starmer say police during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137134	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1384b7…
06-07 11:31:24	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137133	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2b6490…
06-03 20:43:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xcaa8e6…
06-02 20:49:40	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8e8fec…
05-26 19:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe1814b…
05-25 19:24:15	Will Bernie say "Affordability" during Fighting Oligarchy?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9378eb…
05-25 19:23:55	Will Bernie say "Percent" or "Percenter" 11+ times during Fighting Oligarchy?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9f93a2…
05-25 19:22:52	Will Bernie say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during Fighting Oligarchy?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x13642f…
05-25 19:22:33	Will Bernie say "Vermont" during Fighting Oligarchy?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbe659b…
05-22 21:00:37	Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7f883b…
05-22 20:59:53	Will Bernie say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" in Maine?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb751be…
05-22 20:58:15	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x8b751a…
05-20 20:37:24	Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa85b51…
05-19 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xebe186…
05-13 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x89d7ad…
05-13 21:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9e64a3…
05-13 21:11:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9de481…
05-13 21:11:10	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x696cc2…
05-13 21:10:21	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcf1704…
05-13 21:09:03	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x601a63…
05-05 21:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe96c6e…
05-05 20:59:12	Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xef5fab…
05-05 20:57:52	Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdbc93f…
05-03 19:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x277784…
05-03 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x5d7101…
05-03 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab7d70…
05-03 17:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdcac4f…
05-03 10:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd2f842…
05-02 16:16:20	Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x49f0f2…
05-02 16:14:42	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf743e2…
05-02 16:11:56	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xae7471…
05-02 16:07:50	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa9abce…
04-20 20:22:52	btc updown 5m 1776716400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x70bcce…
04-20 20:22:08	will starmer say mr speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 914	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x375c81…
04-20 20:20:52	will starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions event 155 745	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x974f9b…
04-20 20:20:24	will starmer say europe during the next prime ministers questions event 781 449	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x86d9e9…
04-20 20:19:18	Will "Best friend" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7f5b49…
04-20 20:19:02	Will "Immigration" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xadf2c6…
04-15 21:56:32	btc updown 5m 1776290100	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9acade…
04-15 21:29:34	will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7e38c8…
04-15 21:28:54	will trump say transgender during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcdc867…
04-15 21:28:22	will trump say radical left during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc962e4…
04-15 21:27:22	btc updown 5m 1776288300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xadf067…
03-02 21:24:05	will israel strike gaza on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x34cd93…
02-28 20:05:43	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0f85e3…
02-28 19:59:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xd03a56…
02-28 19:17:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xba3bb9…
02-25 21:30:08	will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0cd767…
02-25 21:30:00	will israel strike gaza on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe5239b…
02-25 21:29:36	will israel strike gaza on february 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd18b96…
02-23 20:21:00	will israel strike gaza on february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1c6c2c…
02-22 22:02:14	will israel strike gaza on february 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x55bc6e…
02-22 14:14:18	will israel strike gaza on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3f57fb…
02-20 09:14:58	will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb3ea7…
02-20 09:14:42	will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x688983…
02-19 22:39:56	will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47cfcd…
02-19 22:25:22	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xe528b5…
02-17 21:01:21	will israel strike gaza on february 19 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb9a969…
02-17 20:59:25	will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x6cba48…
02-16 21:09:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x72e7ac…
02-16 21:09:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xd18a41…
02-16 21:07:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae630d…
02-15 22:15:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7bb088…
02-14 17:43:33	will israel strike gaza on february 15 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0637c8…
02-14 17:41:19	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc5900a…
02-14 17:40:25	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2d0e80…
02-12 23:02:37	will bernie sanders say obama during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x2c3c2e…
02-12 23:01:59	will bernie sanders say epstein during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x637412…
02-12 23:01:37	will bernie sanders say affordability during the fighting oligarchy rally	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfe0748…
02-12 22:57:55	will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb26a9c…
02-12 22:51:27	btc updown 5m 1770936300	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x73da44…
02-12 22:46:27	btc updown 5m 1770936300	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe0202d…
02-09 00:10:15	will israel strike lebanon on february 9 2026	No	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x374006…
02-09 00:09:13	will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xea590e…
02-08 23:51:57	btc updown 15m 1770594300	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8bb07b…
02-08 23:40:51	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf9560c…
02-08 23:19:15	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x885802…