Realized P&L (90d)
-$926
Unrealized P&L
+$772
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved (90d)
8,852
Trades (90d)
26,503
81,449 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$973.9K
$1.89M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$6.76K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
83% 44% +$7,630
Sports
13% 54% +$23,884
Politics
4% 51% +$2,218
Tech
0% 71% +$632
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$872
Crypto
0% 49% +$114
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 659 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +2,127 $1,552 72¢ $1.5K -$20 10-27 02:07
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +997 $575 98¢ $977 +$401 08-28 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +1,148 $882 76¢ $867 -$15 09-26 04:01
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,336 $738 35¢ $823 +$85 10-26 16:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1,613 $278 32¢ $508 +$230 10-01 09:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +394 $314 87¢ $342 +$29 10-03 22:27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,053 $311 31¢ $327 +$16 10-22 06:55
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1,042 $440 30¢ $318 -$123 10-21 14:24
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +281 $137 74¢ $208 +$71 09-06 19:49
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +127 $99 100¢ $127 +$28 10-20 11:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +175 $152 72¢ $125 -$27 10-11 18:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +224 $38 32¢ $72 +$34 09-27 22:20
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +534 $36 13¢ $70 +$34 10-04 22:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +185 $57 35¢ $65 +$8 10-26 15:55
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +87 $46 72¢ $63 +$17 10-20 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +61 $54 100¢ $61 +$6 09-25 16:45
Warriors vs. Nuggets Nuggets +77 $49 74¢ $57 +$8 10-24 16:58
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +174 $33 32¢ $55 +$22 10-12 17:47
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +75 $17 69¢ $52 +$35 10-15 20:42
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +44 $25 68¢ $30 +$5 10-17 19:25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +130 $14 15¢ $19 +$4 09-27 23:57
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +62 $12 29¢ $18 +$6 09-26 14:50
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +66 $17 18¢ $12 -$5 10-13 13:31
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +11 $8 100¢ $11 +$3 10-27 01:16
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? Yes +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 09-30 02:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +32 $23 26¢ $8 -$14 08-28 21:19
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +104 $66 2¢ $2 -$64 09-06 19:28
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No +17 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 09-30 23:05