Active-Bunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-19 01:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	02-03 03:36
bitcoin above 62k on april 5	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	04-05 02:26
ethereum above 1700 on march 6	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-06 01:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-01 08:00
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	02-15 08:31
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-12 03:36
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-16 07:01
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	01-17 05:20
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	02-09 09:27
bitcoin above 86k on january 12	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	01-12 06:31
ethereum above 3600 on january 9	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	01-08 06:37
will mercy opening weekend box office be greater than 14m	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-25 03:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	05-19 01:54
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-20 10:51
bitcoin above 96k on january 31	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	01-30 02:58
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-30 08:44
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 400 419	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-26 03:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	05-03 07:31
bitcoin above 66k on april 10	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-10 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	05-12 02:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	05-08 03:22
ethereum above 2600 on january 4	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-03 08:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-27 08:29
ethereum above 3700 on january 22	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-21 02:54
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-22 11:09
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-18 10:52
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-14 02:34
ethereum above 2300 on february 9	1	$2	1,000	+1,000	open	—	02-09 09:26
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-14 02:34
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-21 02:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 01:54:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x864230…
05-12 02:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x876af4…
05-08 03:22:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xfb76bf…
05-03 07:31:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf42fdc…
04-27 08:29:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x93d9bd…
04-22 11:09:04	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb90cd9…
04-18 10:52:48	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xabe092…
04-14 02:34:59	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf5e4cb…
04-14 02:34:45	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07f293…
04-14 02:34:33	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57b993…
04-14 02:34:19	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x897132…
04-10 02:20:11	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x5d4c6f…
04-10 02:19:57	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x400328…
04-10 02:19:41	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaee7a8…
04-10 02:19:31	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2be9a…
04-05 02:26:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x846b0a…
03-30 08:44:48	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x6cc31b…
03-26 03:31:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 400 419	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc53d28…
03-26 03:31:17	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae21a6…
03-26 03:31:13	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe19a23…
03-20 10:51:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9954b8…
03-20 10:43:27	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf426b2…
03-16 07:01:27	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x67a5e0…
03-12 03:36:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x82279a…
03-06 01:24:39	ethereum above 1700 on march 6	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x6c2026…
03-01 08:00:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x619e84…
02-15 08:31:41	bitcoin above 64k on february 15	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xa68496…
02-09 09:27:43	bitcoin above 76k on february 9	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x08c085…
02-09 09:26:33	ethereum above 2300 on february 9	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xbb1dde…
02-03 03:36:26	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x2a3969…
01-30 02:58:40	bitcoin above 96k on january 31	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x4dd19d…
01-25 03:26:10	will mercy opening weekend box office be greater than 14m	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x0bc181…
01-21 02:54:16	ethereum above 3700 on january 22	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x669ffe…
01-21 02:53:58	bitcoin up or down on january 21	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3f1114…
01-21 02:53:38	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5bd92c…
01-21 02:53:22	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x872f06…
01-17 05:20:38	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 380 399	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x437edc…
01-12 06:31:54	bitcoin above 86k on january 12	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xe1b95d…
01-08 06:37:09	ethereum above 3600 on january 9	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xd50738…
01-03 08:09:17	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3d121…
01-03 08:07:45	will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb71526…
01-03 08:06:47	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6ebc3f…