Lone-Monopoly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

103

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 58% +$268

Politics

20% 25% -$1,809

Sports

11% 39% -$244

Other

1% 0% -$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	12	$1.9K	800	1,444	-644	No	+$128	02-27 17:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$1.6K	33,218	24,200	+9,018	Yes	-$1,530	02-28 07:55
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$1.1K	579	579	+0	No	+$3	02-28 06:07
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	7	$1000	556	556	+0	No	+$80	02-23 20:06
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	2	$372	191	191	+0	No	+$8	02-11 22:41
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	8	$332	707	314	+393	No	-$5	02-24 03:21
ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	3	$320	165	165	+0	Teixeira	+$10	02-01 03:06
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$232	135	135	+0	No	+$32	02-12 01:10
ufc yiz kaa 2026 01 31	1	$220	237	0	+237	Ofli	-$220	02-01 00:01
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	6	$214	136	136	+0	No	+$54	01-30 04:58
ufc san7 dom6 2026 01 31	2	$205	105	105	+0	Mar Fan	+$5	01-31 23:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$200	5,762	0	+5,762	Yes	-$200	03-01 00:37
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$169	115	115	+0	Yes	+$59	02-06 00:25
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$147	194	131	+63	No	+$10	06-16 21:53
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$134	208	0	+208	Volkanovski	+$74	02-01 04:37
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	2	$126	77	77	+0	No	+$26	08-20 21:27
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	3	$119	89	66	+24	No	+$9	08-20 21:27
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	4	$115	77	48	+29	Gaethje	-$18	01-25 05:52
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$110	231	0	+231	No	-$110	03-11 22:05
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$109	336	0	+336	Yes	-$109	03-05 03:18
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	2	$106	62	62	+0	No	+$6	08-16 02:38
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	1	$100	118	0	+118	Yes	+$18	02-05 18:11
will bitcoin dip to 75k in february 2026 685 423	1	$100	115	0	+115	Yes	+$15	02-02 02:56
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	2	$92	53	53	+0	No	+$12	07-18 00:55
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$80	97	0	+97	No	+$17	07-13 02:31
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	2	$80	96	0	+96	Yes	-$80	08-16 04:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 12	1	$80	87	0	+87	No	+$7	02-11 22:42
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$79	49	49	+0	No	+$19	05-28 13:05
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	5	$77	219	219	+0	No	+$37	06-08 15:26
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$75	118	0	+118	No	+$43	06-30 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:21:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x1c43cf…
10-25 22:55:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x92e392…
10-25 22:54:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	29	91¢	$27	0xb15d53…
10-16 21:01:11	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3608d2…
10-16 21:00:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x45b465…
08-29 03:33:40	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Umar Nurmagomedov	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x7aed85…
08-20 21:28:06	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x1d95f9…
08-20 21:27:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xfa6e93…
08-20 21:27:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x3bf770…
08-20 21:27:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x34d2a6…
08-16 04:38:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x53e00a…
08-16 04:38:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x97e267…
08-16 02:39:28	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x676671…
08-16 02:38:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	62	91¢	$56	0x093e5e…
08-05 21:48:42	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xb70e21…
08-03 06:03:48	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xa367ff…
08-03 06:03:44	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xb6879b…
08-03 06:03:20	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x13129d…
08-03 06:03:14	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xb88a08…
08-03 06:03:05	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xe66b2b…
08-03 06:02:59	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x02ac38…
07-18 00:57:13	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x5b60f5…
07-18 00:56:36	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xe0bf53…
07-18 00:56:27	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x94534d…
07-18 00:56:06	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0xb2a55f…
07-18 00:55:57	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xc541a0…
07-13 02:32:34	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x34e10b…
07-13 02:31:56	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xbe2733…
07-13 02:31:43	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xbb86e9…
07-06 17:59:58	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xb48ad0…
07-01 23:13:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x3044f5…
07-01 23:12:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xdbf322…
07-01 23:12:23	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x0ab2b3…
07-01 23:12:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0xdb89e6…
06-30 16:20:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xe4ebc5…
06-16 21:53:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x46c49b…
06-16 21:52:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x65aa7a…
06-16 21:48:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0xeb241b…
06-16 21:47:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x5f9ca4…
06-08 15:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x6a4764…
06-08 15:29:40	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x305083…
06-08 15:28:00	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x7f8996…
06-08 15:26:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xd23526…
06-04 04:25:48	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xb401e1…
06-04 02:26:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xdb94c2…
06-04 02:25:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x7a5aa2…
06-04 02:24:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	110	33¢	$36	0x413633…
06-03 23:31:24	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x550f0a…
06-03 00:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x28be91…
06-02 20:45:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x07a552…
06-02 20:45:04	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xaa16fd…
06-01 22:22:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x9848ea…
06-01 22:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xcc06cc…
06-01 22:21:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x200ff4…
06-01 22:21:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xde4e6f…
05-28 13:07:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x5294a0…
05-28 13:05:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x111664…
05-28 13:04:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xa188c1…
05-02 00:12:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x4da078…
05-02 00:11:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xd95be8…
05-02 00:11:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x20c995…
04-14 21:10:26	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x214845…
04-14 21:10:16	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x1a8f9e…
04-13 16:39:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0x4b0714…
04-12 19:07:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x344ee5…
04-07 22:57:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xfda81d…
04-07 22:56:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x4c7202…
04-06 21:24:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x73cddd…
04-06 21:22:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x24e5c5…
04-06 16:41:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x5f70e1…
04-06 16:40:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x7ed3e6…
04-05 04:44:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x54c9e0…
04-05 04:19:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb50b73…
04-02 14:31:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x1e474a…
04-02 14:31:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xd9b924…
04-02 14:31:13	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xf925d4…
04-02 14:31:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xd1f44c…
03-21 18:19:53	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xce2444…
03-21 18:19:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3035bd…
03-21 18:18:15	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x1b5c57…
03-21 18:17:57	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	625	1¢	$8	0x0a5fbe…
03-11 22:05:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x223b53…
03-08 04:39:25	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9d1406…
03-05 03:18:45	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x0b010f…
03-05 03:18:23	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x51b792…
03-05 03:18:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x231e96…
03-01 08:55:11	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x23de0b…
03-01 08:55:01	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$20	0x2ce599…
03-01 08:54:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	98	60¢	$59	0xd07610…
03-01 00:37:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,008	2¢	$50	0x9d39ad…
03-01 00:36:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0x3027f9…
02-28 19:59:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,754	6¢	$100	0xc18a9f…
02-28 08:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4a1695…
02-28 07:55:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	24,200	0¢	$24	0x2daea0…
02-28 07:19:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	8,000	2¢	$120	0x31df4f…
02-28 07:15:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	4,836	2¢	$100	0x6a1993…
02-28 07:02:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,058	2¢	$20	0x963e13…
02-28 07:01:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	17,988	2¢	$320	0xf5468e…
02-28 06:15:39	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x0ee3df…
02-28 06:10:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x73cc96…