Offbeat-Washbasin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$213

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-16 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 57% $-1

Other

30% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$46	309	309	+0	open	—	05-14 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	8	$17	41	36	+5	Up	+$1	05-10 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	7	$15	35	14	+21	Down	$-1	05-08 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$11	11	7	+4	Down	+$1	05-08 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$10	55	5	+50	Up	$-0	05-10 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$8	111	5	+106	Down	$-2	05-08 22:35
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$7	63	8	+54	Up	$-1	05-10 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$7	8	5	+2	Down	+$1	05-08 22:09
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$6	25	25	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$6	11	5	+7	Down	$-0	05-08 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$6	7	4	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$6	8	2	+6	Down	$-2	05-08 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-08 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$5	52	48	+4	Down	+$1	05-10 21:59
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$3	5	2	+3	Up	+$1	05-08 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-10 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 22:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	05-08 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-08 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-08 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:53:47	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xdabb0f…
05-16 20:45:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x7327a5…
05-14 16:29:05	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xe0a7a0…
05-14 14:41:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	5¢	$6	0xa0d54c…
05-13 18:20:49	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xcb0144…
05-13 11:44:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xfdc151…
05-12 06:41:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0xc94ab2…
05-11 17:03:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$8	0xf7297f…
05-11 17:02:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x983d7e…
05-11 15:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x5908c5…
05-11 15:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x754b69…
05-11 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb56842…
05-11 11:44:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$8	0x4476f9…
05-10 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4f1adb…
05-10 23:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa3888b…
05-10 23:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x387c32…
05-10 22:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xa14dfe…
05-10 22:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x38fb74…
05-10 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x333e4c…
05-10 22:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf3df0a…
05-10 22:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6c4bb2…
05-10 22:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3bc3b9…
05-10 22:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x871af4…
05-10 22:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x769081…
05-10 22:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf0ec92…
05-10 22:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x875522…
05-10 22:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2eb16b…
05-10 22:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xffa9cc…
05-10 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x65639f…
05-10 22:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x55881b…
05-10 22:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e8b19…
05-10 22:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x983714…
05-10 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x7126e0…
05-10 22:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x25b255…
05-10 22:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x79d1a0…
05-10 22:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7853c6…
05-10 22:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6adff7…
05-10 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x688fea…
05-10 21:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	46	3¢	$1	0x49f028…
05-10 21:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e2121…
05-10 21:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x63606e…
05-10 21:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x24fa52…
05-09 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcafd9d…
05-08 23:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x4ab55f…
05-08 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3775e4…
05-08 23:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xbf0d3e…
05-08 23:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3b71df…
05-08 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x598b4c…
05-08 23:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc55b07…
05-08 23:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x400036…
05-08 22:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9d3c37…
05-08 22:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x67465d…
05-08 22:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x34e682…
05-08 22:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb1bd82…
05-08 22:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x74cfe9…
05-08 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2563b0…
05-08 22:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xc582c3…
05-08 22:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa1e4a3…
05-08 22:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe376da…
05-08 22:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xecf460…
05-08 22:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5347e8…
05-08 22:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xafd4f5…
05-08 22:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x5d2d09…
05-08 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa69372…
05-08 22:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x05154a…
05-08 22:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8d7e23…
05-08 22:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xabea32…
05-08 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x75d195…
05-08 22:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd1705c…
05-08 22:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdcf759…
05-08 22:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x629c95…
05-08 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d006e…
05-08 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe5726b…
05-08 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcca29a…
05-08 22:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x662a5f…
05-08 22:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x176783…
05-08 22:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x11145d…
05-08 22:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe593b2…
05-08 22:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf58921…
05-08 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa9f923…
05-08 22:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xd2ffd2…
05-08 22:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x175b35…
05-08 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xbc54ab…
05-08 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x502cad…
05-08 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf71635…
05-08 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6a7cc7…
05-08 22:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xcacb60…
05-08 22:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb57844…
05-08 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3a4620…
05-08 21:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7eb7c2…
05-08 21:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x241885…
05-08 21:46:49	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x65d304…
05-08 21:45:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	3¢	$4	0x3ea3fe…