Luxurious-Moth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$444

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-14 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 58% $-7

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$83	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$66	35	35	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$64	34	34	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 22:09
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	02-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-10 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$23	30	0	+30	Up	$-0	05-10 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	05-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$13	19	0	+19	Down	$-7	05-14 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$11	29	0	+29	Up	+$3	05-13 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-10	05-14 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-10 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-10 20:45
btc updown 15m 1770515100	4	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	02-08 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-10 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-10 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-10 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-10 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-10 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-10 19:06
btc updown 5m 1770987000	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	02-13 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 02:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3f46d7…
05-14 00:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd9322a…
05-14 00:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x64c83f…
05-14 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x463216…
05-14 00:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x937c78…
05-14 00:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbbd6c8…
05-13 22:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa659d…
05-13 22:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x53a99b…
05-11 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x062567…
05-11 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x8dc32a…
05-11 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x5a3243…
05-11 22:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x636576…
05-11 19:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xfb498f…
05-11 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x06c4ce…
05-11 19:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1dcd32…
05-11 19:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc8a4b5…
05-10 23:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdbbc13…
05-10 22:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x888adc…
05-10 22:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa8a111…
05-10 22:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdd4df5…
05-10 22:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7a3618…
05-10 20:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe4ee93…
05-10 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x68b724…
05-10 20:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x9c92c7…
05-10 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x71be3a…
05-10 20:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x723597…
05-10 20:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbcb429…
05-10 20:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x62ef98…
05-10 19:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0f4cef…
05-10 19:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6027b2…
05-10 19:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfe3b90…
05-10 19:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc1875d…
02-13 12:53:43	btc updown 5m 1770987000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6479b6…
02-08 01:51:01	btc updown 15m 1770515100	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x959f85…
02-08 01:50:21	btc updown 15m 1770515100	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc38eb9…
02-08 01:48:33	btc updown 15m 1770515100	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x71ad12…
02-08 01:47:01	btc updown 15m 1770515100	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x12efd1…
02-05 17:58:15	will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe52fd0…