Careless-Parking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$9.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-03 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

45% 25% $-1

Politics

23% — —

Other

22% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$583	302	302	+0	open	—	02-23 06:12
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$321	166	166	+0	open	—	02-22 16:56
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$315	161	161	+0	No	$-0	02-22 17:11
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	10	$300	157	157	+0	open	—	02-19 15:20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$288	148	148	+0	open	—	02-23 05:55
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	02-14 09:03
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$270	140	140	+0	open	—	02-16 13:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$266	141	141	+0	open	—	02-23 06:10
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$232	123	123	+0	open	—	02-16 13:39
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$211	113	113	+0	open	—	02-21 21:15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$207	110	110	-0	No	$-0	02-21 21:05
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	6	$204	105	105	+0	No	$-0	02-23 05:47
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$196	106	106	-0	open	—	02-22 17:10
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$192	99	99	+0	open	—	02-14 08:46
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$191	99	99	+0	open	—	02-14 09:05
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	5	$186	97	97	+0	open	—	02-12 02:10
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	11	$184	95	95	-0	open	—	02-23 06:07
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	02-20 06:10
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$176	91	91	+0	open	—	02-20 06:25
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$176	94	94	+0	open	—	02-20 06:23
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$174	89	89	+0	open	—	02-18 04:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$172	88	88	+0	open	—	02-16 13:30
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	6	$170	89	89	+0	open	—	02-22 16:53
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$165	85	85	+0	open	—	02-10 14:20
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	4	$164	85	85	+0	open	—	02-16 13:42
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	6	$164	84	84	+0	open	—	02-23 05:55
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$157	91	73	+18	open	—	01-31 20:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$156	81	81	+0	open	—	02-22 17:01
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$154	81	81	+0	open	—	02-10 13:58
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	6	$144	75	75	+0	open	—	01-30 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 15:13:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbc5fb0…
07-03 08:11:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xe98971…
06-11 01:03:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xbca5ee…
06-10 19:00:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x074f1e…
02-23 06:12:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x6e4021…
02-23 06:11:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xcf7232…
02-23 06:10:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$36	0x47fc24…
02-23 06:09:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$36	0x9fb43d…
02-23 06:09:08	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x8997f0…
02-23 06:08:46	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0xb48790…
02-23 06:07:16	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x5643a3…
02-23 06:05:58	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa1c745…
02-23 06:01:34	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x6f287e…
02-23 06:01:12	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x0edc42…
02-23 06:00:44	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x588abd…
02-23 06:00:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xaecafa…
02-23 05:57:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0xf1d83b…
02-23 05:57:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x0a63f1…
02-23 05:55:48	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xcb3dae…
02-23 05:55:28	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x068783…
02-23 05:55:02	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xbc5bfc…
02-23 05:54:38	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x220b10…
02-23 05:50:16	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x053db1…
02-23 05:49:54	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0xf8bb43…
02-23 05:47:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xa794d8…
02-23 05:46:52	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x8513e3…
02-22 17:11:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xe79f57…
02-22 17:11:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xa0d584…
02-22 17:10:46	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x876a73…
02-22 17:10:24	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xcfcd4a…
02-22 17:09:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x2cc1d2…
02-22 17:09:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x9b7984…
02-22 17:06:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x6e95bc…
02-22 17:05:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0xcc9f46…
02-22 17:05:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x391f25…
02-22 17:05:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x546ca8…
02-22 17:04:42	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x184741…
02-22 17:04:18	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xfac856…
02-22 17:03:22	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x474c5a…
02-22 17:03:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0x8a4861…
02-22 17:01:32	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xa15d1f…
02-22 17:01:10	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xf39705…
02-22 16:59:42	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x25f88d…
02-22 16:59:16	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdd3416…
02-22 16:59:08	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x922376…
02-22 16:58:52	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x13996f…
02-22 16:58:26	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x9322e0…
02-22 16:56:26	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xc43e73…
02-22 16:56:04	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x597df3…
02-22 16:53:04	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xec931d…
02-22 16:52:40	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x1f41b2…
02-21 21:23:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x67e1b0…
02-21 21:23:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x17e539…
02-21 21:22:52	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x1b20c8…
02-21 21:22:28	will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xab85b0…
02-21 21:18:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xed94dc…
02-21 21:18:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe2599b…
02-21 21:17:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0x1b358a…
02-21 21:16:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x74c1bd…
02-21 21:16:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x3daa22…
02-21 21:15:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xc3a6b7…
02-21 21:15:32	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x00a9db…
02-21 21:15:14	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xfd9f79…
02-21 21:10:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0xcef133…
02-21 21:10:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xa918ea…
02-21 21:09:18	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	46	93¢	$43	0x0eaefd…
02-21 21:08:58	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x589cf4…
02-21 21:05:48	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x13bbe0…
02-21 21:05:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xaeceb3…
02-21 21:05:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xace75b…
02-21 21:04:32	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x527d86…
02-21 21:04:08	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xaf6f58…
02-21 21:03:30	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x812615…
02-21 21:03:12	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x4a67ce…
02-21 21:02:48	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x91122a…
02-21 21:02:24	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1b4b91…
02-20 06:30:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xa14357…
02-20 06:29:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xd444f4…
02-20 06:27:12	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x5919dc…
02-20 06:26:54	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0284e9…
02-20 06:25:28	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x63e86e…
02-20 06:25:06	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x502bc6…
02-20 06:23:44	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x74a32f…
02-20 06:23:18	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x66e592…
02-20 06:21:42	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb137b5…
02-20 06:21:28	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xb3a155…
02-20 06:21:08	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xf5d5c7…
02-20 06:20:32	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6925fc…
02-20 06:19:56	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x903119…
02-20 06:19:46	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xa17638…
02-20 06:19:36	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xdb3bd0…
02-20 06:19:12	will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xbc1335…
02-20 06:17:46	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x60af6c…
02-20 06:17:20	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xb28dbb…
02-20 06:16:56	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xca9f05…
02-20 06:16:44	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x38845c…
02-20 06:16:18	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x468c58…
02-20 06:15:20	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	24	95¢	$22	0x87b702…
02-20 06:14:16	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x4d97b1…
02-20 06:13:56	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x590b6a…