Jagged-Rationale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-30 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 36% $-4

Other

4% 100% +$11

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	14	$33	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	6	$27	30	30	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	8	$26	23	17	+6	Down	$-1	05-07 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	7	$25	32	28	+4	Up	+$3	05-07 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-29 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	6	$21	28	28	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	4	$21	31	9	+23	Down	+$8	05-12 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-15 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	3	$12	13	9	+4	Down	$-2	05-13 13:22
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$6	5	4	+2	Down	$-0	05-06 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-28 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Up	$-5	05-07 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	28	0	+28	Down	$-4	05-07 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$3	7	2	+6	Up	$-1	05-06 17:13
Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggerman	1	$3	14	0	+14	Ryan Seggerman	+$11	05-07 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Down	$-2	05-06 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-06 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-07 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	1	$1	22	0	+22	Down	$-1	05-07 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 10:29:15	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd19425…
05-29 04:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xbf8a06…
05-28 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc15bfd…
05-15 03:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x46e573…
05-13 13:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x93fb8b…
05-13 13:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x66b81e…
05-13 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8f901e…
05-12 07:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe60e30…
05-12 07:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9c1c03…
05-12 07:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xfc87e3…
05-12 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe4ef7e…
05-12 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb92f2b…
05-12 07:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xcc1afa…
05-12 07:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xb5619e…
05-12 07:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb51d49…
05-12 07:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3ceaf8…
05-11 07:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xba8613…
05-11 07:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe531da…
05-11 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x29471c…
05-11 07:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5449a5…
05-11 07:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3bc9f4…
05-07 11:28:46	Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggerman	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x44cdbb…
05-07 11:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x137ad3…
05-07 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x412cc1…
05-07 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x2e90e3…
05-07 11:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x09d96c…
05-07 11:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xecee03…
05-07 11:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x80ea4e…
05-07 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb13606…
05-07 10:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5f4c58…
05-07 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb71cb6…
05-07 10:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$4	0x48e36c…
05-07 10:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7b64f8…
05-07 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x107e1f…
05-07 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1e2fd3…
05-07 10:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcc4e00…
05-07 10:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x356155…
05-07 10:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x532e12…
05-07 10:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb9cf8a…
05-07 10:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x8cc1c6…
05-07 10:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x76e001…
05-07 05:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x58cfdc…
05-07 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x1f8a31…
05-07 05:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x57d770…
05-07 05:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x5d7d7a…
05-07 05:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xa85303…
05-07 05:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc3f820…
05-07 05:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x99c120…
05-07 04:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xb14fed…
05-07 04:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xcc2136…
05-07 04:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5c6ba0…
05-07 04:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x139296…
05-07 04:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x65c4b0…
05-07 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7d3b8c…
05-07 04:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3869ff…
05-07 03:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7d6cb8…
05-07 03:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb38418…
05-06 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa4d015…
05-06 18:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1b05ff…
05-06 18:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x017866…
05-06 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xe0b292…
05-06 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x1d5ec9…
05-06 18:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x7fdb55…
05-06 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa6753d…
05-06 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xbc3be1…
05-06 18:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8cf01b…
05-06 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc4f8b2…
05-06 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xc9e753…
05-06 18:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x116b42…
05-06 18:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x7416b5…
05-06 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0a194a…
05-06 18:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9440fc…
05-06 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6d178e…
05-06 17:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8a8f70…
05-06 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf03947…
05-06 17:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xced1bc…
05-06 17:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7fe99b…
05-06 17:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xbebcbf…
05-06 17:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcf8454…
05-06 16:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x274ad8…
05-06 16:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0fa64a…
05-06 16:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x24e89b…
05-06 16:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbb14ed…
05-06 16:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x655c5e…
05-06 16:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x348810…
05-06 16:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x175db2…
05-06 16:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x60c445…
05-06 16:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb0bd05…
05-06 10:13:04	Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9aee9b…