Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$465

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$415.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.75K

Open exposure

$9.76K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-11 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

62% 71% +$3,507

Other

38% 60% -$42

Sports

0% 20% +$468

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-10,000	-$9,290	98¢	$-9755	-$465	05-11 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	7	$92.8K	46,991	46,991	+0	No	+$923	01-30 17:26
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$69.7K	35,512	35,512	-0	No	+$387	05-11 02:42
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$42.8K	21,473	21,473	+0	No	+$95	02-28 21:05
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$29.6K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$188	05-11 02:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	33	$28.6K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	+$1,195	01-30 17:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$20.6K	21,849	0	+21,849	Yes	+$1,217	03-09 08:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	10	$19.0K	10,116	10,116	+0	No	+$793	03-01 21:01
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	11	$11.7K	6,749	6,749	+0	Yes	+$1,697	03-26 06:04
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	23	$11.0K	9,771	3,767	+6,003	Yes	+$586	03-29 00:04
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$114	02-01 07:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$9.3K	0	10,000	-10,000	open	—	05-11 02:43
will iran strike israel on march 6	15	$7.5K	7,928	0	+7,928	No	+$459	03-09 18:15
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$5.8K	6,030	0	+6,030	Yes	+$241	04-07 23:23
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$5.0K	0	5,076	-5,076	No	-$36	01-05 12:00
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	6	$5.0K	5,137	0	+5,137	No	+$136	03-08 21:42
will iran strike israel on march 10	26	$4.8K	7,820	2,202	+5,618	Yes	-$3,979	03-12 05:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$4.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$250	03-11 22:04
will uae strike iran by march 31	9	$4.0K	3,024	3,024	-0	No	+$118	03-09 18:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	2	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$182	04-07 22:59
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?	1	$3.2K	0	3,200	-3,200	No	-$3	01-01 08:28
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$3.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$154	03-09 21:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$2.3K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	+$153	03-24 20:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$2.0K	3,075	0	+3,075	Yes	+$1,099	03-08 07:50
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	7	$2.0K	4,569	0	+4,569	No	-$1,965	03-30 21:16
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$1.7K	998	998	+0	Yes	+$169	04-07 23:07
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$261	04-07 23:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$1.7K	1,027	1,027	+0	Yes	+$319	04-07 23:00
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	9	$1.6K	4,772	999	+3,773	No	-$224	03-30 21:23
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$327	04-07 23:07
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	1	$1.4K	0	1,631	-1,631	Yes	+$1,386	05-11 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 02:43:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	10,000	93¢	$9,290	0x015043…
05-11 02:43:15	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	10,211	100¢	$10,180	0xd77a3a…
05-11 02:42:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	19,495	100¢	$19,456	0x7417e5…
05-11 02:42:36	Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	No	SELL	1,631	85¢	$1,386	0x2ef0db…
05-02 08:24:22	UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ollie Schmid	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xfdeedc…
05-02 08:19:34	UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	Beneil Dariush	BUY	387	24¢	$93	0x512417…
05-02 08:18:58	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf3041e…
05-02 08:18:12	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	800	49¢	$392	0x937f1f…
04-13 02:44:49	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$294	0x50eeff…
04-12 18:32:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,500	52¢	$786	0x83a12d…
04-07 23:23:27	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x250bc1…
04-07 23:21:39	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	5,998	96¢	$5,758	0xd73e14…
04-07 23:07:21	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	998	95¢	$951	0x5a9cfd…
04-07 23:07:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	97¢	$967	0xa139da…
04-07 23:06:49	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0x9aadc3…
04-07 23:00:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,027	97¢	$996	0x3d30cd…
04-07 22:59:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	Yes	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,942	0x384443…
04-07 22:44:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,000	33¢	$326	0xb1202e…
04-07 22:38:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 10	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x508ded…
04-07 22:25:05	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	78¢	$468	0xea1533…
04-07 22:24:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	71¢	$709	0x1ff157…
04-07 22:23:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,512	98¢	$1,487	0x0d04ba…
04-07 22:22:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	398	79¢	$314	0x4991bc…
04-07 22:21:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x890b66…
04-07 22:21:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x14252f…
04-07 22:21:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x89d4a9…
04-07 22:21:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xe9f23d…
04-07 22:21:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa2c7f9…
04-07 22:21:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	433	66¢	$286	0xe61508…
04-07 22:20:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	68¢	$675	0xfa0acc…
04-07 22:19:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x301a9d…
04-07 22:19:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	996	1¢	$10	0x9ff127…
04-07 22:19:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x2550ae…
03-30 21:23:45	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x7c4198…
03-30 21:16:53	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$89	0x89954e…
03-30 21:06:41	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa18c52…
03-30 21:06:41	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x610c9f…
03-30 21:06:41	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1cae35…
03-30 21:06:39	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	1,489	85¢	$1,265	0x76a538…
03-30 20:38:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$322	0x2815f6…
03-30 20:38:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x28448c…
03-30 20:34:19	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	80	71¢	$57	0x9ee0eb…
03-30 20:32:43	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	389	69¢	$270	0x52be67…
03-30 20:32:09	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x461cab…
03-30 20:31:33	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	480	71¢	$339	0x035f70…
03-30 20:14:21	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0x1dd65f…
03-30 20:14:07	blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	Yes	BUY	1,000	56¢	$562	0x29a0e3…
03-30 03:07:16	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$192	0x7ec266…
03-30 03:06:44	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	39¢	$386	0xff9c4a…
03-30 03:05:24	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x6d2939…
03-30 03:05:04	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	750	32¢	$239	0x084900…
03-29 00:04:18	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,936	0x6869fe…
03-28 22:10:10	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	220	92¢	$202	0x0394c1…
03-28 22:09:56	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x3b9184…
03-28 22:05:36	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xf5d2f3…
03-28 22:03:56	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	120	94¢	$112	0xdc962e…
03-28 22:01:18	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x155960…
03-28 21:59:06	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xdf76c3…
03-28 21:57:30	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xaa7a01…
03-28 21:57:08	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x1d945d…
03-28 21:55:10	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	1,000	93¢	$928	0xe5533e…
03-28 00:18:21	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	2,000	38¢	$750	0xddcfa5…
03-27 23:32:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	882	80¢	$707	0x97e254…
03-27 23:29:13	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	387	75¢	$288	0xde8ad0…
03-27 07:24:51	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x79c404…
03-27 07:23:09	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	150	36¢	$54	0xfcab34…
03-27 07:22:51	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	147	37¢	$55	0x5fba04…
03-27 07:21:37	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	974	43¢	$414	0x4179de…
03-27 02:40:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc2a731…
03-27 02:40:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	1,031	24¢	$247	0x99dab3…
03-26 20:08:21	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	175	83¢	$146	0xa2f92d…
03-26 20:07:11	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x4caaba…
03-26 20:06:55	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x0c6420…
03-26 19:58:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	700	84¢	$586	0x740fdf…
03-26 19:58:23	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x9a4315…
03-26 06:04:05	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	6,749	99¢	$6,689	0xf619a7…
03-26 01:04:09	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	700	86¢	$599	0x6a8674…
03-26 01:03:29	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4,789	98¢	$4,708	0x3b0a02…
03-25 23:11:13	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	500	76¢	$381	0x561f65…
03-25 23:03:15	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,200	76¢	$910	0xc0e760…
03-25 23:02:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x4b93e2…
03-25 23:02:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	864	75¢	$649	0x080c66…
03-25 23:01:39	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,490	0xb46b57…
03-25 21:36:07	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0x9b079b…
03-25 21:34:57	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x46ca05…
03-25 21:31:43	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$197	0x084ddc…
03-25 21:28:01	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	835	64¢	$538	0xee9d86…
03-24 21:01:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xcce8d0…
03-24 21:01:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x9c5599…
03-24 21:01:19	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x738264…
03-24 21:01:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	921	23¢	$210	0x530310…
03-24 20:57:47	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0xf82645…
03-24 20:55:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x905059…
03-22 03:45:43	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	15,000	98¢	$14,700	0x048203…
03-22 03:45:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9,000	98¢	$8,838	0x343e5f…
03-12 05:13:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x96b22f…
03-12 05:13:25	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	300	79¢	$236	0xa924c2…
03-12 05:13:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	200	79¢	$157	0x6bc647…
03-12 04:50:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	800	83¢	$666	0x110b6c…
03-12 04:20:37	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	248	80¢	$198	0xe93dfa…