Confused-Iridescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$553

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-06 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$1

Sports

21% — —

Politics

12% — —

Tech

8% — —

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	2	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	02-18 10:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	04-27 01:55
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 01:56
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 01:56
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-01 06:46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-27 01:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 01:56
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$26	0	26	-26	open	—	01-18 09:01
will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	02-18 10:55
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$23	31	0	+31	open	—	04-11 10:24
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 01:58
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	1	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 01:58
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	05-06 12:11
will spacex file for an ipo by march 31 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 06:47
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	03-06 11:08
will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 14:05
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$17	24	0	+24	open	—	04-11 10:24
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	1	$16	22	0	+22	open	—	04-08 13:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 14:05
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$14	24	0	+24	open	—	01-18 09:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 20c	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	04-01 06:47
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	1	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 01:58
ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 bru1	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	02-18 12:48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	04-18 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:11:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x119db2…
04-27 01:58:50	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x32587a…
04-27 01:58:26	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x0a9ea7…
04-27 01:58:18	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xccd52a…
04-27 01:57:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x52d8e9…
04-27 01:56:28	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xbce052…
04-27 01:56:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x193b29…
04-27 01:56:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3f6cb2…
04-27 01:55:56	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0x2b2528…
04-18 10:17:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x385fe5…
04-18 10:17:00	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x950bc3…
04-11 10:24:55	will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xedccdf…
04-11 10:24:05	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x1c01e4…
04-08 13:32:11	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x24c209…
04-08 13:31:31	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x2a4687…
04-01 06:47:59	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xc7ad1c…
04-01 06:47:37	will spacex file for an ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd2838e…
04-01 06:46:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7f4630…
03-24 13:14:35	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x034ca8…
03-16 14:05:57	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xb51950…
03-16 14:05:41	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x1b92f5…
03-08 12:37:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xc199b2…
03-06 13:09:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x1c7f79…
03-06 11:08:17	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xe41719…
02-18 12:48:44	ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 bru1	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x4ba417…
02-18 12:48:04	ucl bru1 atm1 2026 02 18 bru1	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x60c8f4…
02-18 10:55:14	will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xc190fe…
02-18 10:55:04	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7d2349…
02-03 02:04:44	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x608bf3…
02-01 14:32:30	will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	Yes	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0xc82986…
01-18 09:01:30	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x7ff902…
01-18 09:01:18	will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x103159…