Shiny-Bidder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$4.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-03 00:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

62% 17% +$34

Tech

28% 0% -$1

Politics

10% 20% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?	5	$774	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	05-18 10:05
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	12	$635	350	350	+0	No	-$9	08-02 15:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	2	$295	152	152	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 10:03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	7	$292	157	157	+0	open	—	08-02 08:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	7	$243	300	100	+200	Down	+$3	05-18 11:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$242	125	125	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 10:04
trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	5	$192	130	130	+0	open	—	08-03 00:49
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	3	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-02 12:45
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	5	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:24
will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	3	$174	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	07-30 06:20
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	4	$161	100	100	+0	No	-$17	08-02 02:01
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	3	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	-$21	08-02 02:01
Games Total: O/U 2.5	7	$116	106	106	+0	Over	+$93	05-17 11:05
will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	5	$102	150	150	+0	No	-$1	08-01 10:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$99	200	0	+200	Up	+$1	05-18 11:19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	4	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-30 13:33
untitled market 1 20260730180943686	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	-$1	07-31 20:55
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	2	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-31 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	4	$90	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-04 02:26
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$87	150	50	+100	No	+$0	06-04 02:27
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?	2	$62	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 10:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 20c	1	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	+$3	04-07 04:27
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	06-04 02:27
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 04:23
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-04 12:13
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	5	$15	150	150	+0	Yes	-$5	07-30 08:03
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$15	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-02 10:00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	2	$8	50	50	+0	open	—	08-02 15:44
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?	2	$8	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	07-31 12:28
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	3	$7	70	70	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 00:49:00	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xd9cde9…
08-03 00:48:56	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xf31161…
08-03 00:48:56	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x0ee42d…
08-02 15:44:41	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xdd444b…
08-02 15:44:38	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc67e36…
08-02 15:42:38	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x9b815d…
08-02 15:42:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5584ee…
08-02 14:55:38	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x591f99…
08-02 14:55:35	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1272bd…
08-02 12:45:32	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x4059cc…
08-02 12:45:29	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x9e69fa…
08-02 10:00:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2f2d85…
08-02 10:00:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5b9ce1…
08-02 08:53:02	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd39ceb…
08-02 08:52:57	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcf8852…
08-02 06:37:14	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xbc9cf7…
08-02 06:37:06	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3d417f…
08-02 02:01:35	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	81	69¢	$56	0x6e64c8…
08-02 02:01:26	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x3805b3…
08-02 00:10:30	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x118d71…
08-02 00:10:24	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf50caa…
08-01 23:58:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xbaba0b…
08-01 23:58:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x931ea4…
08-01 10:29:09	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x7deacb…
08-01 10:29:06	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x21178a…
08-01 04:51:12	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x55da43…
08-01 04:51:09	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xea4613…
08-01 04:27:42	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x7de955…
08-01 04:27:36	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x375d40…
07-31 21:27:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x4f92e9…
07-31 21:27:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x84e685…
07-31 20:55:57	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x327d1e…
07-31 20:55:27	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd3b166…
07-31 18:56:23	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x638bc2…
07-31 18:56:20	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x85bb8a…
07-31 13:44:41	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf64352…
07-31 13:44:36	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa6e37…
07-31 12:57:11	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x3a446a…
07-31 12:57:08	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4f782b…
07-31 12:28:38	Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x3392bc…
07-31 12:28:35	Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc4e10c…
07-31 07:45:48	Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x2d11f6…
07-31 07:45:47	Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x002789…
07-31 07:22:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x7d4864…
07-31 05:58:05	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2040ba…
07-30 21:34:54	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3ae725…
07-30 21:34:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x57d604…
07-30 16:53:57	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x50cbbe…
07-30 16:53:54	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe1cec7…
07-30 13:33:50	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x1c6be0…
07-30 13:33:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb3e6a2…
07-30 11:19:08	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x72e1dd…
07-30 11:19:06	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xbbbfff…
07-30 10:52:54	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0xc22476…
07-30 08:15:38	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x2dd7a1…
07-30 08:15:32	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x80eb75…
07-30 08:03:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc1c798…
07-30 08:03:00	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x6b291f…
07-30 07:42:33	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x193cf1…
07-30 07:42:32	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xc2d6b6…
07-30 07:41:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x8ec90a…
07-30 07:41:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x71098c…
07-30 06:20:50	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x1b2548…
07-30 06:20:47	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x949fcc…
07-30 06:20:45	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x04dd08…
07-30 05:59:42	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x1c5e07…
07-30 04:23:30	Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x28b78c…
07-30 04:23:26	Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc22958…
07-30 04:22:38	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2bbcbf…
07-30 02:19:03	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$4	0x859dc0…
07-30 02:18:54	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x75171f…
07-30 02:18:54	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x405cce…
07-30 01:35:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x0adc96…
07-30 01:35:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x08e4b7…
07-30 01:30:56	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x541656…
07-30 01:30:54	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x2b8d1e…
07-30 01:24:57	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x5d45ed…
07-30 01:24:50	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x9502fb…
07-30 01:24:50	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x884f41…
07-30 01:24:47	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc86e0d…
07-29 18:20:30	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xed2b9f…
07-29 18:20:24	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x09cf77…
07-29 14:24:12	Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0x23138d…
07-29 14:24:05	Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0xbb79f7…
07-29 14:24:03	Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0xb9847e…
07-29 14:24:02	Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xfd603e…
07-29 10:42:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x7f5aa1…
07-29 10:42:44	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x0bb640…
06-04 02:27:19	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xd58157…
06-04 02:27:03	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x037e2d…
06-04 02:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x53b567…
06-04 02:21:33	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x19f243…
06-04 02:13:25	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x385360…
06-04 02:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x3c2cff…
06-04 02:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xd9cc8d…
06-04 02:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x82dab1…
06-04 02:00:18	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xd6b037…
06-04 01:58:21	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfe4a29…
05-25 04:06:17	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x712d85…
05-25 03:59:17	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8d587a…