Showy-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$484

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-23 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

48% 33% $-0

Other

47% — —

Sports

3% 33% $-0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	21	$57	64	64	+0	open	—	04-14 21:10
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 total 1pt5	9	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	03-29 13:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 20:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	8	$20	240	240	+0	open	—	07-08 07:49
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	5	$18	6	12	-6	open	—	07-23 02:40
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	07-23 02:40
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	07-08 04:21
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	5	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
wta garcia kalinin 2026 03 29	6	$10	26	26	+0	open	—	03-29 13:10
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 10:49
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	5	$10	6	4	+2	open	—	06-25 18:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$10	28	26	+2	open	—	04-21 17:07
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 lit	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 13:05
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game3	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 13:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 20:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	10	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	04-27 05:46
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	07-23 02:40
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	4	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	5	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	07-02 19:20
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
es2 eib lpm 2026 03 29 total 4pt5	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 12:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 15:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$8	17	13	+4	open	—	05-31 10:22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-25 19:25
fif lit geo 2026 03 29 total 2pt5	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 13:10
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-23 02:39
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-13 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 02:40:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x057a14…
07-23 02:40:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x284aa6…
07-23 02:40:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x6ec477…
07-23 02:39:51	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x51ebc0…
07-23 02:39:48	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xceecac…
07-23 02:39:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8f1b2a…
07-23 02:39:36	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x2e11fb…
07-23 02:39:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xf295fb…
07-23 02:39:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x032f63…
07-23 02:39:24	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xb5072c…
07-23 02:39:19	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x847791…
07-23 02:39:16	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xec6d59…
07-23 02:39:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x4391f1…
07-23 02:39:12	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xd7e01d…
07-21 05:09:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x8e8b00…
07-21 05:09:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xb3934f…
07-21 02:42:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x6e949e…
07-21 02:40:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xc4b481…
07-17 01:40:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8a936c…
07-17 01:38:28	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xf20363…
07-17 01:38:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x52b9fe…
07-16 21:45:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x9283f2…
07-16 20:19:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x80d92d…
07-16 19:03:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5ed7f2…
07-16 07:04:50	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x89d242…
07-16 00:17:08	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1fa385…
07-14 19:53:20	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf4e791…
07-13 14:03:49	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdd6c5a…
07-13 11:00:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xc4de25…
07-12 12:50:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6f7ccf…
07-12 12:46:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x515932…
07-10 15:29:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x955cc1…
07-08 09:10:22	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xef4f66…
07-08 08:56:56	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xc974d8…
07-08 08:49:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xb13336…
07-08 08:32:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xaca42d…
07-08 08:23:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbd912a…
07-08 08:23:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x18dbbb…
07-08 08:21:37	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7fc422…
07-08 07:49:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x1fe08e…
07-08 07:47:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$3	0x8efa16…
07-08 07:43:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0xa652f6…
07-08 07:37:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x247b65…
07-08 07:22:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x5577e2…
07-08 07:09:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x787543…
07-08 06:18:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd37274…
07-08 06:03:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6a3006…
07-08 05:45:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4cfb8c…
07-08 05:06:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x771884…
07-08 05:05:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xafc672…
07-08 05:05:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x87756e…
07-08 04:21:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xb20ef0…
07-08 04:21:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xdce1c1…
07-08 04:01:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xde14af…
07-08 03:38:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x02bc02…
07-08 02:28:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0ca947…
07-07 13:38:26	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x00e6df…
07-06 18:27:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x4bfa5f…
07-06 09:18:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe982bc…
07-06 09:04:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x0b58f6…
07-06 01:54:05	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x668082…
07-03 07:48:55	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xde2ba6…
07-02 21:28:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd36284…
07-02 19:20:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x0ec4eb…
07-02 19:20:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xf8794e…
07-02 19:20:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xd18b5e…
06-26 17:35:10	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4270d2…
06-26 17:11:01	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5ba793…
06-26 17:09:35	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc1e593…
06-26 16:10:02	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc4a0e5…
06-25 19:25:38	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xef8f44…
06-25 19:17:50	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5b8806…
06-25 18:28:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0ed722…
06-25 17:41:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3b4af4…
06-25 17:39:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb4811c…
06-25 17:15:59	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x28fcbb…
06-25 17:15:49	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd3b108…
06-25 17:12:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4d4310…
06-25 17:03:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x391406…
06-25 16:58:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x81c11a…
06-25 12:54:44	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc3a03c…
06-25 08:59:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1ebc47…
06-25 08:54:53	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaac05a…
06-24 19:36:16	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x75a445…
06-24 19:35:26	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x818dbe…
06-24 19:35:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1516ec…
06-24 13:30:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x59a3d1…
06-24 12:39:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe15eee…
06-24 12:14:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x394d32…
06-24 12:06:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x48f014…
06-24 12:05:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcfd9c6…
06-22 17:10:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x55617e…
06-22 17:10:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x409a69…
06-22 17:10:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x550c8f…
06-01 07:17:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1eb876…
05-31 16:31:36	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd0e430…
05-31 16:27:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x024f5f…
05-31 15:03:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbaea4d…
05-31 15:03:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x047163…
05-31 14:52:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x349622…