Whole-Invoice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-14 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$2

Politics

36% — —

Crypto

25% 80% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-20	$-17	99¢	$-20	$-3	06-14 21:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 19:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	05-06 08:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$17	0	20	-20	open	—	06-14 21:55
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$15	13	5	+8	open	—	03-23 14:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-07 20:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 14:40
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-30 22:51
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	02-14 14:16
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 17:58
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-02 14:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-03 16:14
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-14 22:25
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	458	0	+458	open	—	02-01 22:30
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-11 00:38
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 22:38
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	02-02 15:58
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	02-01 22:25
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-01 23:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-23 12:00
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-18 16:24
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 08:30
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-12 23:41
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 09:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-28 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 12:15
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-02 23:28
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	1	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	02-08 20:19
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	1	$2	30	0	+30	open	—	02-02 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-13 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:55:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x289cfb…
05-17 19:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4fed6b…
05-17 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc124ce…
05-17 19:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeaa3f8…
05-17 19:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2bd462…
05-17 10:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6073d4…
05-16 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x91fe0c…
05-13 18:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x13bf78…
05-13 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc4224c…
05-13 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb60484…
05-13 08:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6bbaa3…
05-12 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x516da5…
05-12 19:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8dd192…
05-12 19:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1af38…
05-06 08:47:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xa19a7b…
05-06 07:12:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf58510…
05-06 07:12:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb242be…
05-04 12:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc606c1…
05-04 12:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xab7033…
05-03 16:14:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x36afb1…
05-03 16:14:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0b90ab…
04-26 08:30:34	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdc984a…
04-02 14:28:17	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc6b4e7…
03-23 14:08:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb03bb1…
03-17 17:58:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x84e5c2…
03-17 17:58:39	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9bc0f9…
03-14 14:29:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb636c8…
03-13 17:35:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1b253c…
03-09 08:27:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4442d8…
03-07 20:08:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xb0d6be…
03-01 23:47:41	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x829f8f…
02-28 22:39:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8b07d9…
02-28 22:38:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x840974…
02-28 22:38:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc3646d…
02-28 22:38:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x61406b…
02-28 20:05:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4bd504…
02-28 19:51:23	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x98e5eb…
02-28 19:27:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xce124f…
02-28 19:24:17	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd0cf23…
02-28 19:24:09	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xee5f54…
02-28 19:23:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc65f64…
02-27 09:37:07	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x71803c…
02-23 12:00:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1d92db…
02-23 00:06:50	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe54fb0…
02-18 16:24:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf16223…
02-14 14:16:45	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x47064b…
02-08 22:23:39	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe6a5d7…
02-08 20:19:15	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6ce6d8…
02-06 22:38:55	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x52cadb…
02-06 22:38:41	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd8c5af…
02-02 23:51:08	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xfcf28e…
02-02 23:28:36	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb9584d…
02-02 15:58:40	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb5b82f…
02-01 22:30:10	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	458	1¢	$5	0x207f36…
02-01 22:25:58	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x374718…
01-31 14:40:36	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x96152f…
01-31 14:23:26	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1a3a8d…
01-30 22:51:54	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x77a65a…
01-30 14:24:00	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbe6892…
01-23 21:54:02	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2ea5d3…
01-14 22:25:10	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc3eade…
01-12 23:41:51	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6737e7…
01-11 00:38:40	will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9cf592…