Foolhardy-Foray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-15 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% -$16

Sports

19% — —

Politics

6% 67% +$4

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$60	67	0	+67	Yes	+$7	04-13 07:23
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	06-15 10:16
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$46	66	66	+0	open	—	06-15 10:14
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-21 07:20
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	1	$26	34	0	+34	No	-$26	05-09 14:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-21 07:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$9	13	0	+13	Yes	+$4	04-07 06:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	03-29 06:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	02-19 18:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$4	02-19 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 10:16:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x1786d7…
06-15 10:14:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0x7680bd…
06-09 18:04:45	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xf4b3b5…
05-21 07:20:28	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x57b5c3…
05-21 07:17:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xefa833…
05-09 14:11:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x0526ce…
04-13 07:23:15	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xc03a04…
04-07 06:48:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x06b1dd…
03-29 06:53:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7312d4…
02-19 18:59:52	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa8e6da…
02-19 18:59:30	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x81c967…