Esteemed-Hydrolysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-04 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

31% 0% $-10

Sports

26% 100% +$10

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+10	$5	92¢	$9	+$4	06-26 20:29
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes		+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	06-27 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	110	+110	open	—	05-19 21:20
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	2	$35	48	+48	open	—	07-04 21:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$15	38	+38	open	—	04-23 11:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	21	+21	open	—	04-23 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$15	25	+25	open	—	04-23 11:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-24 11:53
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	3	$13	178	+178	open	—	04-25 08:05
will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	2	$12	60	+60	open	—	06-27 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$10	26	+26	Yes	$-10	05-05 21:11
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$10	20	+20	No	+$10	05-05 21:14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-24 08:13
will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	06-26 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	06-26 20:29
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-27 07:05
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	06-11 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 21:17:10	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfbff28…
06-27 07:05:26	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa69fdc…
06-27 06:51:19	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x54a910…
06-26 20:33:31	will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc81879…
06-26 20:31:41	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfc993b…
06-26 20:29:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd2eb29…
06-26 20:28:02	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x90ba19…
06-11 20:38:00	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb3d462…
05-24 11:53:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1d2b61…
05-19 21:20:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xa422ab…
05-05 21:14:24	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb83d7e…
05-05 21:11:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x813205…
04-25 08:05:06	Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb3f4a6…
04-24 08:13:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xded175…
04-24 07:59:58	Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x02bc83…
04-23 11:11:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x548727…
04-23 11:11:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x9fc0f8…
04-23 11:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xc5c724…
04-23 11:00:56	Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x02fcc5…