Ample-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$424

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-17 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

68% 0% $-2

Other

25% 33% $-24

Crypto

6% 0% $-23

Sports

1% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$104	74	74	+0	open	—	05-08 22:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$101	147	147	+0	open	—	05-08 22:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$77	630	630	+0	open	—	05-10 20:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	05-17 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$23	221	0	+221	Down	$-23	05-09 23:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$22	414	414	+0	open	—	05-08 22:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik	1	$20	43	0	+43	Alexei Popyrin	$-20	05-09 21:11
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	$-10	05-08 22:55
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	05-08 22:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$8	71	71	+0	No	$-2	05-10 16:59
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$3	10	0	+10	Thunder	$-3	05-10 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:17:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xe209ee…
05-11 08:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xbe7624…
05-10 20:18:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	3¢	$19	0xba2d0b…
05-10 16:59:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x1a9d76…
05-10 01:50:51	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbdd4b6…
05-09 23:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x5cc2dd…
05-09 23:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x183fb6…
05-09 23:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	13¢	$13	0x01f0c1…
05-09 21:11:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xad0c55…
05-09 15:19:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x31e446…
05-08 23:20:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa7bd19…
05-08 22:58:34	Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x144ff9…
05-08 22:55:57	Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfad9b1…
05-08 22:51:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	11¢	$38	0x9b9399…
05-08 22:48:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	414	2¢	$10	0x2bd3df…
05-08 22:48:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	35¢	$51	0x27697d…
05-08 22:47:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	74	73¢	$54	0xd19a98…
05-07 23:29:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	414	3¢	$12	0x958c84…
05-07 23:28:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x2d970b…
05-07 23:28:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x5095f4…