Parched-Analog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$122

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$111

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-06 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% — —

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+61	$58	96¢	$58	+$1	06-06 17:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+61	$51	84¢	$51	+$0	06-06 17:55
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-2	$-2	98¢	$-2	$-0	06-06 08:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$58	61	0	+61	open	—	06-06 17:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$51	61	0	+61	open	—	06-06 17:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 23:02
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-06 08:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-27 20:13
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	2	0	+2	Pistons	+$1	05-05 23:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-05 23:02
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-26 07:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-05 23:02
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-26 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:55:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	83¢	$42	0xbd288f…
06-06 17:55:13	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x309066…
06-06 17:54:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb2426e…
06-06 08:17:13	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x772365…
05-27 20:13:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8d0007…
05-05 23:02:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3efd90…
05-05 23:02:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe9f6a7…
05-05 23:02:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x02caf2…
05-05 23:02:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x195f0d…
05-05 23:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1be909…
05-05 23:02:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x299aa6…
02-26 07:37:18	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x293afa…
02-26 07:37:12	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd5b9d5…