Quarterly-Closet-Poem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$510

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-15 08:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776589800	3	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-19 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-02 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776590100	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	41	0	+41	open	—	05-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-09 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-09 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-09 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-09 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-09 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-09 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-09 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb14100…
05-15 06:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x751a3f…
05-15 05:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x315b6e…
05-15 03:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1275d4…
05-15 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x66a7b8…
05-15 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdb154c…
05-14 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xe1cd4a…
05-14 17:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xdcb637…
05-10 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2e57e7…
05-10 00:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2f9f11…
05-10 00:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xde0fbf…
05-09 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x0bd385…
05-09 23:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x3148b6…
05-09 23:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x21d657…
05-09 23:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x0d53ba…
05-09 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xa9b04b…
05-09 22:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x59356a…
05-09 22:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x262152…
05-09 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdf757a…
05-09 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf80370…
05-09 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5197f3…
05-09 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xbb3353…
05-09 19:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9b9ff0…
05-09 19:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x6bc09f…
05-09 18:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x181d79…
05-09 18:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x46c133…
05-09 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x32072f…
05-09 17:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7ac835…
05-09 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7ff83e…
05-09 16:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x40204c…
05-09 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5582d6…
05-09 09:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb9e5b4…
05-04 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcad18e…
05-04 18:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x61c45f…
05-04 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x79ab3a…
05-04 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x32a68d…
05-04 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3db2f8…
05-04 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc53fae…
05-04 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x308249…
05-04 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x55ef5a…
05-04 15:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa7104d…
05-04 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x234bca…
05-04 15:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee79c7…
05-04 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba3059…
05-04 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e4744…
05-04 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd238c2…
05-04 14:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x722027…
05-04 14:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x591f6e…
05-04 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8d26d2…
05-04 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a1b9a…
05-04 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x075ca7…
05-04 11:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x84f549…
05-04 11:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x41b18e…
05-04 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa105a8…
05-04 10:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd813bb…
05-04 10:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x14a889…
05-04 10:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5815b6…
05-04 09:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x65767c…
05-04 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xcacd59…
05-04 09:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x65a84c…
05-04 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x11d0e2…
05-04 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdccda0…
05-04 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x898198…
05-04 08:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd7494e…
05-04 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2214c1…
05-04 08:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xe33435…
05-04 08:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ab0f2…
05-04 08:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06c31b…
05-04 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xde0c00…
05-04 08:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x33ca26…
05-04 07:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x097b38…
05-03 23:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x11b077…
05-03 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdf5c10…
05-03 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xddeb38…
05-03 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x828f0a…
05-03 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0b5378…
05-03 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x514f0a…
05-03 16:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x93cbca…
05-03 15:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x60a479…
05-03 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5468a5…
05-03 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xebc9f3…
05-03 14:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9f9c2f…
05-03 13:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xefa8b1…
05-03 13:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd40d71…
05-03 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfe5bc3…
05-03 13:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8c5e02…
05-03 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3b1cc2…
05-03 11:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x28cb77…
05-03 11:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb70658…
05-03 11:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c4493…
05-03 10:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb1e1a5…
05-03 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0fef61…
05-03 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe43b60…
05-03 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x265cb9…
05-03 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x55f1b4…
05-03 10:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x46a810…
05-03 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x125674…
05-03 09:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa4659…
05-03 09:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x14cd6c…
05-03 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdf1eeb…