Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$224

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$103.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-25 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% $-224

Other

21% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	8	$10.0K	5,096	5,096	+0	open	—	01-24 17:15
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$8.2K	8,806	0	+8,806	open	—	02-03 16:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	33	$7.8K	8,208	0	+8,208	open	—	03-15 09:56
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	40	$7.7K	3,915	3,915	+0	open	—	03-16 22:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	4	$7.0K	7,076	0	+7,076	open	—	04-21 21:38
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	12	$4.7K	5,150	0	+5,150	open	—	01-24 22:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	11	$4.1K	2,885	1,790	+1,095	open	—	03-27 07:13
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$3.2K	3,438	0	+3,438	open	—	02-25 10:42
us forces enter iran by january 31	22	$3.1K	3,331	0	+3,331	open	—	01-27 14:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$3.1K	1,553	1,553	+0	open	—	03-06 22:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$3.0K	1,592	1,592	+0	open	—	05-25 12:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	11	$2.9K	2,963	1,263	+1,700	open	—	04-21 21:09
will claudia vanessa dobles camargo win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	6	$2.9K	3,005	0	+3,005	open	—	01-27 14:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	16	$2.9K	2,945	0	+2,945	open	—	03-27 00:10
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	20	$2.7K	1,364	1,364	+0	open	—	03-09 02:26
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	4	$2.4K	2,396	0	+2,396	open	—	03-27 03:00
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	12	$2.0K	2,130	0	+2,130	open	—	01-24 18:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$2.0K	2,040	0	+2,040	open	—	04-25 22:27
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$1.9K	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	01-21 14:01
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$1.6K	1,699	0	+1,699	open	—	01-21 15:06
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$1.5K	1,599	0	+1,599	open	—	03-26 22:50
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	2	$1.4K	1,410	0	+1,410	open	—	03-08 22:55
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$1.4K	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	03-26 22:49
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$1.3K	1,315	0	+1,315	open	—	03-26 11:04
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	8	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	open	—	03-06 21:53
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	1	$1.1K	1,265	0	+1,265	open	—	02-25 10:50
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	7	$967	536	536	+0	open	—	02-03 16:36
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$955	413	610	-197	open	—	01-21 14:01
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	3	$915	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	01-27 15:39
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$846	900	0	+900	open	—	02-25 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 13:01:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	33¢	$47	0x299570…
05-25 13:01:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xc3a5ea…
05-25 13:01:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5f185d…
05-25 13:01:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x8a8a9d…
05-25 13:01:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7b9969…
05-25 13:00:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x2fe8b8…
05-25 12:54:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,592	99¢	$1,570	0xac52e2…
05-13 23:14:35	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0xe00a1b…
05-13 22:35:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x57e3fc…
05-13 22:31:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0x390ce5…
05-13 22:18:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x34b4d8…
05-13 22:02:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	347	96¢	$332	0xe6cd8e…
05-08 22:51:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	208	89¢	$185	0x9b9399…
05-08 22:50:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xab51dd…
05-08 22:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x82e857…
05-08 22:14:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x2e68fc…
05-08 22:06:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1f12fc…
05-08 21:51:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x241885…
05-08 21:41:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0x3d3fdd…
05-08 21:26:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	59	89¢	$53	0x7c665c…
05-08 21:19:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	398	64¢	$255	0xa697f8…
05-07 20:10:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	176	93¢	$163	0xef1018…
05-07 20:10:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x54bbca…
05-07 19:55:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	398	67¢	$267	0xee1bcf…
05-07 19:54:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	86¢	$171	0xf45368…
05-07 19:53:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	398	94¢	$374	0x00c6f0…
04-27 21:13:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	248	96¢	$237	0xa7a2e0…
04-27 21:12:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	699	84¢	$587	0x5e6707…
04-25 22:27:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2,040	97¢	$1,970	0x455b73…
04-25 22:07:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,194	92¢	$1,098	0x305c16…
04-22 12:55:42	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0xc349fd…
04-22 10:05:48	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0a8ce0…
04-22 08:01:00	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x796415…
04-21 21:38:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	389	98¢	$382	0xc3684c…
04-21 21:09:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	870	100¢	$867	0x67ae03…
04-21 21:09:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3deffa…
04-21 21:08:20	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xbcb076…
04-21 21:07:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4df3f6…
04-21 21:01:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf5d2b…
04-21 20:58:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	6,289	98¢	$6,189	0x155c85…
04-21 20:27:16	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	426	99¢	$423	0xde09cb…
04-21 20:26:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xb11046…
04-21 12:44:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa86fc9…
04-21 12:44:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xd2f9d9…
04-21 12:44:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x4d5b3d…
04-21 12:44:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x4968d9…
04-21 12:32:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xa6b971…
04-21 12:32:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x7d909f…
04-21 12:32:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x2faa53…
04-21 12:09:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xea825d…
04-21 12:07:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	320	98¢	$314	0x0990d1…
04-17 13:35:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,263	10¢	$122	0xe0b436…
03-30 23:12:51	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x840fad…
03-30 20:58:05	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xf56d6e…
03-28 22:18:58	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x78024e…
03-28 21:13:56	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	92	88¢	$81	0xa16fb3…
03-28 19:52:38	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x335f32…
03-28 11:51:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x697177…
03-28 09:14:27	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x14aabe…
03-28 07:57:07	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x96cb13…
03-27 12:13:29	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x9d1c0d…
03-27 10:25:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x0d8d2f…
03-27 07:27:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	455	88¢	$401	0xe4de2f…
03-27 07:13:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4e752a…
03-27 07:10:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe97e3b…
03-27 03:00:49	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x92c76b…
03-27 02:11:23	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x4a1a20…
03-27 01:43:11	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x252f60…
03-27 00:10:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x633c62…
03-27 00:02:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	146	84¢	$123	0x1f0ad3…
03-27 00:02:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x94f021…
03-26 23:42:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xaad962…
03-26 22:53:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	617	92¢	$568	0x048d7c…
03-26 22:51:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	298	85¢	$253	0x5cc22a…
03-26 22:50:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,599	92¢	$1,471	0x1b3682…
03-26 22:49:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1,462	94¢	$1,374	0x9c47e9…
03-26 22:48:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0929a8…
03-26 22:48:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x87c27b…
03-26 22:48:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x0d7c3b…
03-26 22:48:01	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	473	99¢	$468	0xf54113…
03-26 20:15:47	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0xc4aea0…
03-26 12:41:51	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x0c9de0…
03-26 12:41:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x984df1…
03-26 12:41:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x18107e…
03-26 12:41:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x086d11…
03-26 12:39:01	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xfa8d0f…
03-26 12:00:33	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x16d4f3…
03-26 11:34:37	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x1e0bf5…
03-26 11:30:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	241	99¢	$238	0x814cff…
03-26 11:27:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x26a6e8…
03-26 11:27:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xff3a2b…
03-26 11:26:09	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x9b987c…
03-26 11:05:09	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,987	99¢	$1,971	0x1cf68e…
03-26 11:04:09	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1,315	100¢	$1,312	0xe312e0…
03-26 11:03:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	447	99¢	$441	0xc4b4a4…
03-26 10:44:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x83f0a4…
03-26 10:44:43	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	115	89¢	$103	0x02c212…
03-25 12:11:09	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	148	47¢	$70	0x0942f3…
03-24 22:57:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	73	97¢	$70	0x962d22…
03-24 22:05:35	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	975	97¢	$946	0x00ab0c…