Weary-Flipflops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

131

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$715

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-18 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 67% $0

Other

7% 50% -$4

Politics

2% 50% $0

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		+5	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-18 14:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:35 UTC	18	$56	54	39	+15	Down	-$5	03-30 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:25 UTC	8	$49	28	27	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	12	$44	38	24	+15	Up	+$2	03-30 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:45 UTC	8	$40	26	26	+0	Up	$0	03-30 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:40 UTC	5	$21	18	11	+7	Up	+$0	03-30 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:55 UTC	6	$20	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	03-30 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:15 UTC	5	$19	28	7	+21	Up	-$1	03-30 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	16	$18	25	24	+0	Up	+$0	03-30 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	3	$18	14	7	+7	Down	+$0	03-30 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:20 UTC	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	$0	03-30 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:30 UTC	4	$16	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 10:33
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-16 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:05 UTC	3	$13	13	6	+7	Up	+$2	03-30 11:07
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-16 23:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:10 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	03-30 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 21:35 UTC	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	03-28 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	03-28 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:00 UTC	4	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:50 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	03-30 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:05 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	04-13 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 22:30 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-29 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:25 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	03-30 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:05 UTC	8	$8	6	4	+2	Up	+$0	03-30 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	09-18 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 11:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:40 UTC	3	$7	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	03-30 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 21:20 UTC	3	$7	16	11	+5	Up	$0	03-29 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	6	$6	23	22	+1	Up	+$0	03-30 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	09-18 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 14:15:57	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x163f11…
09-18 14:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x76fa94…
09-18 14:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa936e2…
09-18 14:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf19dcf…
09-18 14:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xfe2dd9…
09-18 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc7d4ce…
09-18 14:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x505d28…
09-18 14:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4b0239…
09-18 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x163360…
09-18 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc2ac8c…
09-18 14:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x7aa611…
09-18 14:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xef505b…
09-18 14:04:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcbb4a1…
09-18 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29114d…
09-18 14:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc6c86c…
09-18 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc9e4e9…
09-18 14:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb21116…
09-18 02:41:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeef9f3…
09-18 02:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1fe148…
09-18 02:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x55ae89…
09-18 02:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb05d3…
09-18 02:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x11afa9…
09-18 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc56577…
09-18 02:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x56c19e…
09-18 02:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe1a7f0…
09-18 02:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf9f08d…
09-18 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa22d71…
09-18 02:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x509c05…
09-18 02:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x03b9e7…
09-18 02:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8daeac…
09-18 02:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa75a86…
09-18 02:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xee0ac8…
09-18 02:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x463171…
09-18 02:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa53af3…
09-18 02:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x8981cf…
09-18 02:22:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x946a16…
09-18 02:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa2458e…
09-18 02:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4eec58…
09-15 18:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbf90d7…
09-15 18:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc6a276…
09-15 18:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfff36d…
06-26 19:56:43	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xfa1c5a…
05-16 23:12:21	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6fd647…
05-16 23:12:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x834940…
05-16 23:12:16	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcc77cd…
05-16 22:15:34	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x96a1cc…
05-16 21:12:18	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe1b9a1…
05-16 21:10:33	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xe3a239…
05-15 21:19:29	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xfd6500…
05-15 21:19:22	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe7194e…
05-15 21:18:32	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xebfe06…
05-14 19:31:37	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5e24f4…
05-13 20:34:43	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x24ade4…
05-13 19:49:41	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2fe15f…
05-13 18:06:07	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x9119e6…
05-12 19:18:43	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x957e66…
05-12 19:18:24	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0bc37…
05-10 22:25:58	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x42daf7…
05-10 22:15:58	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x49c3c8…
04-14 23:13:08	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5e0d7f…
04-13 22:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb385c6…
04-13 22:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x14606f…
04-13 22:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12498b…
04-01 23:02:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdafa2b…
04-01 23:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x24329e…
03-30 16:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x5e457d…
03-30 16:29:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6d5870…
03-30 16:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x506fd5…
03-30 16:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7519d…
03-30 16:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xd922a3…
03-30 16:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x1d70ca…
03-30 16:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf08602…
03-30 16:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd06d9a…
03-30 16:26:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8eea1…
03-30 16:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe84c2a…
03-30 16:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xee21ac…
03-30 16:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe2bf7c…
03-30 16:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb66bb1…
03-30 16:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x819331…
03-30 16:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x08d82b…
03-30 16:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1f1f12…
03-30 16:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x534073…
03-30 16:21:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe14730…
03-30 16:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x36bb31…
03-30 16:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0642fb…
03-30 16:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0x8ac798…
03-30 16:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0c7924…
03-30 16:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x91c55e…
03-30 16:16:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x899a35…
03-30 16:16:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7af68b…
03-30 16:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xae5da8…
03-30 16:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8928d5…
03-30 16:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xdda6ba…
03-30 16:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x386bf6…
03-30 16:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x1da471…
03-30 16:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x09f719…
03-30 16:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x940690…
03-30 16:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x902899…
03-30 15:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe807b3…
03-30 15:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x544fc8…