Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$9.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-15 08:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 67% $-10

Politics

24% — —

Sports

21% 0% $-2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$869	493	493	+0	No	$-0	04-25 08:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	16	$763	1,053	1,053	+0	Yes	$-10	04-24 14:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	5	$678	352	352	+0	open	—	04-15 08:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	11	$642	647	647	+0	open	—	04-10 14:11
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$635	324	324	+0	open	—	04-24 05:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$615	318	318	+0	open	—	03-26 04:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$344	359	359	+0	open	—	04-04 01:21
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	03-16 14:56
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$339	172	172	+0	No	+$0	03-28 02:07
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$338	171	171	+0	open	—	03-18 05:21
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$335	173	173	+0	open	—	03-31 22:47
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$317	503	503	+0	No	+$0	04-09 06:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$314	336	336	+0	open	—	03-20 22:51
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$310	157	157	+0	open	—	03-24 15:31
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$309	164	164	+0	open	—	03-26 00:55
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$309	161	161	+0	open	—	03-23 14:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$307	156	156	+0	open	—	03-21 12:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	04-01 08:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$306	156	156	+0	open	—	03-17 00:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	3	$306	160	160	+0	open	—	04-15 15:00
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$275	139	139	+0	open	—	03-20 13:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	04-20 13:04
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	03-27 20:18
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$23	340	340	+0	open	—	03-23 08:23
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	3	$20	171	171	+0	open	—	03-31 02:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$19	231	231	+0	open	—	04-06 07:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$16	521	521	+0	No	$-2	04-22 02:50
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$14	163	163	+0	open	—	04-21 13:37
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$12	345	345	+0	open	—	03-17 18:26
doge updown 4h 1781524800	1	$12	23	0	+23	open	—	06-15 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 08:16:55	doge updown 4h 1781524800	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x2d7a65…
04-27 09:32:00	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	167	3¢	$6	0x944dfd…
04-27 07:48:34	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$6	0xdb77ab…
04-25 08:00:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0xd9cbd6…
04-25 08:00:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	92	88¢	$81	0x52a201…
04-25 05:36:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	159	88¢	$141	0x4c23bd…
04-24 14:08:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	338	3¢	$9	0x5064d8…
04-24 12:33:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	338	6¢	$19	0xc4587c…
04-24 05:00:06	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$164	0xb0c573…
04-24 02:37:12	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x505265…
04-23 17:33:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	168	6¢	$9	0x882be8…
04-23 15:28:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x95325a…
04-23 15:28:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	137	6¢	$8	0x875bcc…
04-22 02:50:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$2	0x2ec335…
04-21 23:59:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xf3c431…
04-21 23:59:44	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0xcd0c63…
04-21 13:37:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	163	4¢	$7	0x623631…
04-21 12:08:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0xe62f59…
04-21 06:58:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xc73a58…
04-21 06:58:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0xc662d9…
04-21 05:23:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x923bc9…
04-21 05:23:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x0c9a99…
04-20 18:29:36	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	162	94¢	$153	0x7df559…
04-20 17:08:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	162	94¢	$153	0x2de804…
04-20 13:04:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb2decd…
04-20 10:01:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x516651…
04-19 23:42:52	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0x57bf9b…
04-19 23:42:52	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x24c33e…
04-19 19:53:16	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xd4562b…
04-19 11:40:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	177	5¢	$10	0xfa6bd3…
04-19 07:47:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	156	6¢	$9	0x93e578…
04-19 07:47:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x1ec18f…
04-19 01:36:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xd84b9b…
04-18 21:07:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x4898c1…
04-18 19:55:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xcfe778…
04-18 19:55:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0xaacf23…
04-18 19:54:56	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xae229b…
04-18 19:54:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	95	88¢	$84	0xe197aa…
04-18 17:39:54	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	143	88¢	$126	0xa41c52…
04-18 07:22:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	191	88¢	$168	0x776c88…
04-18 05:11:20	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	191	88¢	$168	0x5f2704…
04-16 19:44:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	352	1¢	$5	0x31b114…
04-16 17:30:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	352	2¢	$6	0x152505…
04-15 15:00:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	160	95¢	$152	0xc2fc7a…
04-15 11:23:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$132	0xd14a67…
04-15 11:23:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x615f6a…
04-15 08:19:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	96¢	$164	0xa56ee7…
04-15 08:19:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x7c27bf…
04-15 07:07:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	176	96¢	$170	0x435b7b…
04-14 21:10:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	176	96¢	$169	0x1b4a50…
04-14 21:09:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	176	96¢	$169	0xa0c903…
04-10 14:11:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	157	98¢	$154	0x4c4dcd…
04-10 11:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xd0b8fd…
04-10 11:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9d407e…
04-10 11:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x031d0f…
04-09 06:21:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0x9d5eac…
04-09 02:26:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$103	0x765851…
04-09 02:26:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x18f250…
04-06 07:25:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x6fd930…
04-06 07:25:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	195	4¢	$8	0xee3d5a…
04-06 05:58:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x4cdae5…
04-06 05:58:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x9a39a0…
04-06 05:58:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	178	4¢	$7	0xbceab8…
04-04 01:21:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$3	0x5b03ce…
04-03 23:47:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x78dc71…
04-03 23:47:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	153	2¢	$2	0x512ffd…
04-01 08:56:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	157	98¢	$154	0xd13695…
04-01 06:44:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$153	0xa5e44d…
03-31 22:47:09	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0x15e1c6…
03-31 18:49:33	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	173	97¢	$167	0x5071fe…
03-31 02:44:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	171	5¢	$9	0xedc04c…
03-31 02:13:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xdcfa36…
03-31 02:13:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x9c5170…
03-30 12:29:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	174	97¢	$169	0xd031fc…
03-30 12:28:30	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	174	97¢	$169	0xe79ff7…
03-28 11:48:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	159	97¢	$154	0x02d280…
03-28 10:02:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0xff557f…
03-28 02:07:55	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6acbb6…
03-28 02:07:17	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x12f49c…
03-28 00:46:29	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xbda882…
03-27 20:18:09	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x55b543…
03-27 17:54:37	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xb95536…
03-27 17:54:37	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa9cf58…
03-26 22:41:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xdd4d7b…
03-26 22:41:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	304	4¢	$13	0xcce8a4…
03-26 20:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe681f0…
03-26 20:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	158	4¢	$7	0x5c86ea…
03-26 20:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	148	4¢	$6	0x14b31f…
03-26 04:58:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0x6f6e3e…
03-26 04:58:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x5451de…
03-26 02:42:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0x73e6ba…
03-26 00:55:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	131	94¢	$124	0x45b30a…
03-26 00:55:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x222587…
03-25 21:44:05	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	164	94¢	$155	0xdec583…
03-24 15:31:17	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x44243b…
03-24 15:31:17	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$111	0x085abb…
03-24 10:57:41	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$110	0x95e215…
03-24 10:57:39	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xe7f86b…
03-23 18:17:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	348	2¢	$6	0xecb10f…
03-23 16:50:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	348	2¢	$6	0x7b25d2…