Leading-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$484

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-21 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$4

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,851	0	+1,851	open	—	05-14 23:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,847	0	+1,847	open	—	05-14 09:40
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 15?	1	$1.8K	1,848	0	+1,848	open	—	05-16 01:52
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$1.8K	1,846	0	+1,846	No	+$4	05-14 01:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-21 09:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 20	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	01-20 04:03
ethereum above 3500 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-19 03:22
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-18 01:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-17 01:13
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-16 00:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-15 01:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-14 02:32
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-13 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-12 02:44
ethereum above 3300 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	01-11 07:47
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	01-10 08:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:45
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 11:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-10 06:18
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-05 08:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-26 06:43
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	01-31 06:33
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 07:44
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 11:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	1	$6	2,119	0	+2,119	open	—	03-20 03:25
will ethereum dip to 2100 april 13 19	1	$6	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	04-20 01:08
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	1	$6	2,079	0	+2,079	open	—	04-25 02:21
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	1	$6	2,059	0	+2,059	open	—	04-28 09:11
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-06 07:33
trump out as president by march 31	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-17 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 11:45:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae51d2…
05-16 01:52:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,848	100¢	$1,844	0x839ba1…
05-14 23:09:17	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,851	100¢	$1,847	0x2ead41…
05-14 09:40:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,847	100¢	$1,845	0x52245c…
05-14 01:23:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,846	100¢	$1,842	0xf6b8cf…
05-08 04:45:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x69c0c7…
04-29 08:36:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0xb311b7…
04-28 09:11:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2,059	0¢	$6	0xa0fc33…
04-25 02:21:50	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	2,079	0¢	$6	0xbd5e57…
04-22 09:26:32	xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	No	BUY	2,089	0¢	$4	0xb5692c…
04-20 01:08:00	will ethereum dip to 2100 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	2,084	0¢	$6	0x88938c…
04-17 11:12:20	solana above 80 on april 17	No	BUY	2,054	0¢	$4	0x7e601b…
04-14 03:24:15	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2bf3fc…
03-26 06:43:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb5b0fa…
03-20 03:25:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	2,119	0¢	$6	0x79e0db…
03-11 11:02:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1c363e…
03-06 07:33:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x85c5d5…
02-24 05:05:48	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c41ca…
02-17 08:12:37	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3be1cc…
02-17 08:05:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0e2d89…
02-12 03:29:39	xrp above 1 on february 12	No	BUY	1,139	0¢	$5	0x58c00f…
02-10 06:18:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xaf849b…
02-05 08:24:25	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf384a1…
02-02 12:29:00	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53a34f…
01-31 06:33:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5b8b5…
01-30 07:07:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f4e35…
01-29 11:10:50	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18bfc3…
01-28 08:00:01	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb475a5…
01-27 07:44:49	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85ccba…
01-26 07:17:24	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2f2a6…
01-21 09:14:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 21	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0x1936a3…
01-20 04:03:00	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 20	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,072	0xd82b8d…
01-19 03:22:50	ethereum above 3500 on january 19	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0xb98e12…
01-18 01:34:16	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x246afb…
01-17 01:13:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x53eb19…
01-16 00:58:58	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xd33dff…
01-15 01:48:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0x52296e…
01-14 02:32:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,060	0x6df182…
01-13 02:20:31	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,058	0x2f858f…
01-12 02:44:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,057	0x8b9ebd…
01-11 07:47:30	ethereum above 3300 on january 11	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,055	0x3cc28b…
01-10 08:03:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	No	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,051	0xbbe221…