Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$29,495
$131 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$11,853
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 00:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $207 | $207 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $468 | $468 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $18 | $28.8K | $28.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $212 | $212 |
| Median | 6 | — | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| Below median | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $207 | $207 |
| unranked | 16 | — | $26.4K | $26.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | +3,256 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 05-14 20:49 |
| Accurate-Peninsula 0xb265…a32c | No | +2,075 | $2,071 | $2,071 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Calculating-Undertaker 0x4124…f0cd | No | +2,074 | $2,070 | $2,070 | 1 | 05-15 00:12 |
| Woozy-Craw 0xc8bc…c433 | No | +2,067 | $2,063 | $2,063 | 1 | 05-15 00:17 |
| Cylindrical-Folk 0x1e3a…0eb2 | No | +2,066 | $2,062 | $2,062 | 1 | 05-14 23:42 |
| Super-Gap 0x353d…43c4 | No | +2,066 | $2,062 | $2,062 | 1 | 05-14 23:36 |
| Frequent-Village 0xb21f…d6e5 | No | +2,066 | $2,062 | $2,062 | 1 | 05-14 23:40 |
| Distinct-Aircraft-Clothing 0x6bf8…4138 | No | +2,065 | $2,061 | $2,061 | 1 | 05-14 23:37 |
| Golden-Journal-Llama 0x9f68…2ac4 | No | +2,064 | $2,060 | $2,060 | 1 | 05-14 23:32 |
| Slow-Fusarium 0x7458…5ccc | No | +2,063 | $2,059 | $2,059 | 1 | 05-14 23:39 |
| Favorite-Deadline 0x1d55…7aae | No | +2,062 | $2,058 | $2,058 | 1 | 05-14 23:34 |
| Droopy-Wiring 0x5a94…1497 | No | +2,062 | $2,058 | $2,058 | 1 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Occasional-Yeast 0x89a5…9ea8 | No | +1,858 | $1,854 | $1,854 | 1 | 05-14 23:10 |
| Scarce-Trustee 0x1e74…9c9f | No | +1,848 | $1,844 | $1,844 | 1 | 05-14 23:03 |
| Good-Natured-Genius 0x355f…0bbf | No | +1,840 | $1,836 | $1,836 | 1 | 05-14 23:07 |
| Weak-Strait 0xd6a4…823f | No | +300 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-14 23:25 |
| Flat-Circuit 0x5c62…2dda | No | +267 | $266 | $266 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +210 | $207 | $207 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | +203 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 05-14 19:17 |
| Respectful-Evaluation 0x71c0…6d5b | No | +201 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-14 23:26 |
| Solid-Highlight 0xc10b…c27e | Yes | +191 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:04 |
| Rosy-Comparison 0xd6db…0f20 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 12:40 |
| Several-Player 0x92c6…8e1b | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 00:00 |
| Majestic-Sparerib 0xb549…4d11 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 12:14 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Annual-Deviance 0x9ef0…b8a0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 12:32 |
| Calculating-Independence 0xf082…110a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:30:22 | Dishonest-Vitro 0x0d9e…f53a | Yes | SELL | 111 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc161de… |
| 05-15 00:25:07 | Droopy-Wiring 0x5a94…1497 | No | BUY | 2,062 | 100¢ | $2,058 | 0xce09c7… |
| 05-15 00:17:51 | Woozy-Craw 0xc8bc…c433 | No | BUY | 2,067 | 100¢ | $2,063 | 0x84fec3… |
| 05-15 00:12:52 | Calculating-Undertaker 0x4124…f0cd | No | BUY | 2,074 | 100¢ | $2,070 | 0x32f0c0… |
| 05-15 00:02:54 | Accurate-Peninsula 0xb265…a32c | No | BUY | 2,075 | 100¢ | $2,071 | 0x8ae071… |
| 05-15 00:00:09 | Several-Player 0x92c6…8e1b | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8fafeb… |
| 05-14 23:42:27 | Cylindrical-Folk 0x1e3a…0eb2 | No | BUY | 2,066 | 100¢ | $2,062 | 0x4acff8… |
| 05-14 23:40:40 | Frequent-Village 0xb21f…d6e5 | No | BUY | 2,066 | 100¢ | $2,062 | 0x92af7f… |
| 05-14 23:39:30 | Slow-Fusarium 0x7458…5ccc | No | BUY | 2,063 | 100¢ | $2,059 | 0x2b5f3e… |
| 05-14 23:37:50 | Distinct-Aircraft-Clothing 0x6bf8…4138 | No | BUY | 2,065 | 100¢ | $2,061 | 0xfbce17… |
| 05-14 23:36:58 | Super-Gap 0x353d…43c4 | No | BUY | 2,066 | 100¢ | $2,062 | 0x43d6ba… |
| 05-14 23:34:10 | Favorite-Deadline 0x1d55…7aae | No | BUY | 2,062 | 100¢ | $2,058 | 0xecd503… |
| 05-14 23:32:11 | Golden-Journal-Llama 0x9f68…2ac4 | No | BUY | 2,064 | 100¢ | $2,060 | 0x240646… |
| 05-14 23:26:52 | Respectful-Evaluation 0x71c0…6d5b | No | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x675396… |
| 05-14 23:25:18 | Weak-Strait 0xd6a4…823f | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x2ea9d1… |
| 05-14 23:10:25 | Occasional-Yeast 0x89a5…9ea8 | No | BUY | 1,858 | 100¢ | $1,854 | 0x53d8fc… |
| 05-14 23:07:27 | Good-Natured-Genius 0x355f…0bbf | No | BUY | 1,840 | 100¢ | $1,836 | 0xbf5df0… |
| 05-14 23:03:53 | Scarce-Trustee 0x1e74…9c9f | No | BUY | 1,848 | 100¢ | $1,844 | 0x104e5b… |
| 05-14 22:50:14 | Calculating-Independence 0xf082…110a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc93d8f… |
| 05-14 20:49:45 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | BUY | 917 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x0e16c6… |
| 05-14 19:18:28 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | BUY | 2,099 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x1ffdda… |
| 05-14 19:17:37 | Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | BUY | 203 | 100¢ | $202 | 0x6e9a3a… |
| 05-14 18:04:35 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xad87cc… |
| 05-14 18:04:31 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 210 | 98¢ | $207 | 0xccb532… |
| 05-14 18:04:28 | Scrawny-Normalisation 0x1414…18fc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6fab21… |
| 05-14 16:04:32 | Solid-Highlight 0xc10b…c27e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x08acb6… |
| 05-14 15:00:39 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | BUY | 241 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2f167c… |
| 05-14 12:40:29 | Rosy-Comparison 0xd6db…0f20 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd2e44… |
| 05-14 12:32:45 | Annual-Deviance 0x9ef0…b8a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3dacf6… |
| 05-14 12:14:16 | Majestic-Sparerib 0xb549…4d11 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa3b44d… |
| 05-14 07:09:16 | Flat-Circuit 0x5c62…2dda | No | BUY | 267 | 100¢ | $266 | 0xa19d23… |