Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$4.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-02 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

80% 100% +$15

Other

16% 100% +$2

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	8	$452	400	400	+0	open	—	04-28 16:59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$435	300	300	+0	open	—	04-20 16:46
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 02:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 08:55
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	2	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 02:52
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 22:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$283	220	220	+0	open	—	04-29 01:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$221	300	300	+0	open	—	04-29 01:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$202	300	300	+0	open	—	04-23 20:35
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	4	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 22:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$179	100	100	+0	No	+$15	05-02 10:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$161	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 20:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 13:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$112	150	50	+100	open	—	04-28 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$108	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 16:02
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	04-15 10:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 00:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	05-02 17:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	04-24 05:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$53	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 21:15
elon musk of tweets march 2026 720 759	2	$42	11,858	11,857	+1	open	—	03-15 17:13
elon musk of tweets march 2026 760 799	4	$34	6,665	6,665	+1	open	—	03-15 17:13
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	5	$32	39	39	-0	open	—	03-31 05:11
elon musk of tweets march 2026 800 839	5	$32	6,626	6,626	+0	open	—	03-15 17:13
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$31	22	10	+11	open	—	01-23 07:50
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 22:08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	7	$27	198	198	+0	open	—	02-10 04:39
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$24	100	98	+2	open	—	04-28 16:54
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 04:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	3	$21	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-02 17:20:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	66¢	$31	0xd164e4…
05-02 17:15:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x684af3…
05-02 10:23:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x32dd30…
05-01 00:35:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x3e57d2…
04-30 03:53:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x90d087…
04-29 22:27:06	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x82d138…
04-29 11:04:42	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x5d6836…
04-29 05:21:46	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xb973f3…
04-29 04:34:12	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xcc1f60…
04-29 01:36:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x04e8ee…
04-29 01:18:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x79e3e4…
04-29 01:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0xb72e51…
04-28 23:03:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd8b69…
04-28 16:59:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x72f5be…
04-28 16:59:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x4f131d…
04-28 16:54:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0xf7b360…
04-28 09:17:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xf9b6bf…
04-27 15:33:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x73acb7…
04-27 12:24:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xb79adf…
04-27 04:25:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdccd3c…
04-27 01:39:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xaf05c0…
04-25 16:27:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xaa7e2b…
04-25 15:55:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x0a72fc…
04-25 02:21:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2652a2…
04-24 18:25:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x198818…
04-24 05:59:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x809b8d…
04-24 05:59:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x3a7f26…
04-23 23:28:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xfec591…
04-23 21:59:38	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbefa4a…
04-23 21:07:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x8b3a8d…
04-23 20:35:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x5bbd86…
04-23 10:29:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x00e89b…
04-22 23:58:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x002702…
04-22 21:40:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9bc939…
04-22 21:40:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x1c6659…
04-22 16:45:38	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x2b0d7d…
04-22 13:20:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	18¢	$14	0xcd7bc5…
04-22 12:17:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3fa566…
04-22 04:41:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x9135e2…
04-22 00:12:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x741b77…
04-21 23:18:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb2c23a…
04-21 23:12:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x0c7bdb…
04-21 22:15:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x33f6c9…
04-21 22:08:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x8607e2…
04-21 15:22:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xdd0751…
04-21 13:34:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2365b6…
04-21 13:24:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf88648…
04-21 04:51:32	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xedc756…
04-20 16:46:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x8f8f18…
04-20 14:00:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xc8cddf…
04-20 12:28:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$9	0xa49ff6…
04-20 12:28:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	173	91¢	$157	0x90f9b5…
04-19 16:02:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xe54eb7…
04-19 16:02:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0xaa5520…
04-19 16:00:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x586f7b…
04-19 15:59:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0xd0ffd0…
04-18 22:51:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x7d729c…
04-18 22:48:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x0b328e…
04-18 22:47:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xba654f…
04-18 18:30:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x74fc23…
04-18 12:25:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xbf5f4b…
04-17 19:23:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x22e838…
04-17 08:55:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xc3d0f3…
04-15 10:22:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7d3255…
04-14 02:52:53	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x2256ec…
04-13 17:03:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x454283…
04-12 02:33:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xc3fd07…
04-12 02:05:43	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xde7ea5…
04-09 20:43:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xa3e7b6…
04-08 08:49:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xf3daa4…
04-07 21:15:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xcce6bf…
04-06 16:46:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xca33c8…
04-06 15:10:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x8a679c…
04-06 14:47:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7a293d…
04-04 20:33:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x9bbc0b…
04-03 22:13:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xb8ef43…
04-03 20:23:39	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x1e6573…
04-03 20:01:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xbb2786…
04-01 17:47:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x17587c…
03-31 19:20:13	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	Yes	SELL	128	0¢	$0	0x4881d3…
03-31 17:17:07	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x4ef708…
03-31 05:11:47	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x0c15ab…
03-31 05:11:45	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x6090ee…
03-29 14:50:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xc63b0f…
03-29 14:50:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x705173…
03-29 04:38:14	will elon musks net worth be between 640b and 650b on march 31	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe76c53…
03-29 03:52:34	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x355c16…
03-28 19:20:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x49cb99…
03-28 12:34:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x33662b…
03-26 05:38:07	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 9pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x81ee9c…
03-26 05:36:19	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 9pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0xf7e154…
03-26 05:34:31	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0xa4cc61…
03-26 05:32:49	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x565ed4…
03-26 05:27:39	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x3ff354…
03-26 05:25:57	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0xb5b389…
03-26 05:24:09	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x036cd8…
03-26 05:22:21	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x766dac…
03-26 05:20:33	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x85eb89…
03-26 05:18:45	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	1,428	0¢	$1	0x611bbe…
03-26 05:16:55	atp honda broady 2026 03 25 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	1,094	0¢	$1	0xa586e6…