Wild-Bureau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$4.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-14 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$2

Politics

10% — —

Other

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$826	1,549	1,549	+0	open	—	05-14 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	15	$686	800	675	+125	open	—	05-03 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$379	2,772	2,772	+0	open	—	05-03 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	13	$375	11,320	1,191	+10,129	open	—	05-04 10:27
btc updown 15m 1769214600	3	$344	11,781	118	+11,663	open	—	01-24 00:45
sol updown 15m 1769214600	5	$230	215	213	+2	open	—	01-24 00:41
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	5	$176	975	975	+0	open	—	01-24 00:30
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	8	$164	2,081	2,081	+0	open	—	01-24 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	5	$156	146	146	+0	open	—	05-04 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$150	6,660	0	+6,660	open	—	05-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$149	233	233	+0	open	—	05-03 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$124	11,664	116	+11,548	open	—	05-04 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$111	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	05-04 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$100	6,676	0	+6,676	open	—	05-03 11:49
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	3	$98	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	01-23 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$97	159	159	+0	open	—	05-04 11:33
sol updown 15m 1769247900	4	$76	2,037	36	+2,001	open	—	01-24 10:01
sol updown 15m 1769213700	2	$57	48	47	+0	open	—	01-24 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$50	3,838	0	+3,838	open	—	05-03 09:25
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:31
sol updown 15m 1769248800	4	$39	59	10	+50	open	—	01-24 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-03 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$25	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	05-03 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 11:40
btc updown 15m 1776778200	3	$23	33	32	+2	open	—	04-21 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$21	18	17	+1	open	—	04-27 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 12:44
btc updown 15m 1769249700	2	$16	15	14	+0	open	—	01-24 10:28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1,549	24¢	$370	0xcdf112…
05-14 11:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,529	29¢	$450	0x634d64…
05-14 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xa399db…
05-13 12:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x5afe02…
05-13 12:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x99099b…
05-12 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6ff39f…
05-12 12:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7302a3…
05-12 12:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x912482…
05-04 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	69	34¢	$24	0x84bbee…
05-04 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x3d187b…
05-04 11:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	77	74¢	$57	0xb0e7b4…
05-04 11:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xe8ebdb…
05-04 11:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x73246a…
05-04 11:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	159	30¢	$47	0x58d6a2…
05-04 11:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x4229b8…
05-04 11:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xb6e078…
05-04 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8cd1a…
05-04 10:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	460	2¢	$10	0x5a68bb…
05-04 10:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xe8c184…
05-04 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xacfa4e…
05-04 10:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	319	8¢	$25	0x375b6a…
05-04 10:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xc41c0e…
05-04 10:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x12f673…
05-04 10:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,579	2¢	$25	0xcd7380…
05-04 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x1ce542…
05-04 10:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x210dc4…
05-04 10:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0xf714ce…
05-04 10:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	819	3¢	$25	0xdbf8dc…
05-04 10:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	857	3¢	$25	0x878287…
05-04 10:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x0d5684…
05-04 10:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1,191	6¢	$75	0x305013…
05-04 10:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xf848fb…
05-04 10:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	266	9¢	$25	0xbd5c3a…
05-04 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	303	8¢	$25	0x32ad90…
05-04 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	310	8¢	$25	0x239efe…
05-04 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3,885	1¢	$25	0x91ef48…
05-04 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x58572b…
05-04 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xcb667b…
05-04 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,510	1¢	$25	0x79dfda…
05-04 10:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x2cb8e1…
05-04 10:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	269	9¢	$23	0xfe19a5…
05-03 12:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x25f283…
05-03 11:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,120	2¢	$25	0xdcf17c…
05-03 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,248	1¢	$25	0x691a94…
05-03 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xd13235…
05-03 11:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	986	3¢	$25	0xc8b60a…
05-03 11:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	439	6¢	$25	0x7de7b7…
05-03 11:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	382	7¢	$25	0xdc9841…
05-03 11:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x305804…
05-03 11:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,511	2¢	$25	0x76c3a0…
05-03 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xf79e69…
05-03 11:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3b4417…
05-03 11:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	165	15¢	$25	0xd053b0…
05-03 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xc592c1…
05-03 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf6f0e6…
05-03 11:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	90	29¢	$26	0xc2f941…
05-03 11:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	143	33¢	$47	0x8dc606…
05-03 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x3da7b4…
05-03 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xee6f72…
05-03 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x5a5261…
05-03 11:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x8cc0db…
05-03 11:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x18b0f2…
05-03 11:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x61478a…
05-03 11:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x2b6119…
05-03 11:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x3eaf03…
05-03 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	341	50¢	$170	0xf22038…
05-03 11:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf52950…
05-03 11:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x7bf0dd…
05-03 11:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x9caa24…
05-03 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xc6076b…
05-03 11:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x5e9a37…
05-03 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	138	48¢	$66	0x495fb8…
05-03 11:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	138	51¢	$70	0x7ad33a…
05-03 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	156	52¢	$81	0x63edbe…
05-03 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xf36e15…
05-03 11:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0xea4ba5…
05-03 10:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2,772	6¢	$179	0x971911…
05-03 10:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	885	6¢	$50	0x7278d3…
05-03 10:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x077533…
05-03 10:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	433	12¢	$50	0xe84d7d…
05-03 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x726c5f…
05-03 09:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3,838	1¢	$50	0xab2d56…
05-02 02:31:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x127a2d…
04-27 14:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x87fe1e…
04-27 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa6c7ad…
04-27 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x007e2a…
04-23 18:29:40	btc updown 15m 1776968100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x748739…
04-23 18:29:40	btc updown 15m 1776968100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01a4e4…
04-23 13:14:42	btc updown 15m 1776949200	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0e7411…
04-23 13:14:40	btc updown 15m 1776949200	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x270a82…
04-21 14:07:28	btc updown 15m 1776780000	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe6672d…
04-21 14:07:28	btc updown 15m 1776780000	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcb29d3…
04-21 13:31:18	btc updown 15m 1776778200	Up	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0xc68be3…
04-21 13:30:46	btc updown 15m 1776778200	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x976cbb…
04-21 13:30:44	btc updown 15m 1776778200	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc28dbe…
04-18 22:45:28	will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	Yes	BUY	555	1¢	$6	0x4c5963…
04-17 18:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x1e511a…
04-17 18:10:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xb3999b…
04-17 17:18:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	533	0¢	$2	0x22b954…
04-16 11:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	555	1¢	$4	0x1789d6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	44	$707	105	05-13 12:19
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	40	$3.15K	581	05-14 11:13
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	33	$4.49K	977	05-14 11:14
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	32	$6.59K	884	05-14 11:13
Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b	32	$763	106	05-13 12:15
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	27	$54.1K	6,314	03-17 02:29
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	26	$15.2K	4,654	05-14 11:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	26	$14.1K	926	05-14 11:13