Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
23.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$868
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$111
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-03 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 50% +$37
Other
19% 0% $-50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +894 $100 10¢ $85 $-15 07-03 18:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +21 $10 42¢ $9 $-1 06-09 21:13
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +34 $10 24¢ $8 $-2 06-09 21:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +91 $10 $5 $-5 06-09 21:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +56 $10 $4 $-6 06-09 21:12