Glass-Temperature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 19:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$12

Other

38% 88% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$736	369	369	+0	No	+$1	02-17 21:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$727	371	371	+0	No	+$8	02-02 22:07
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$715	363	363	+0	No	+$4	01-09 18:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$395	481	0	+481	open	—	07-01 08:14
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	1	$367	0	390	-390	open	—	06-25 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-01 08:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-18 09:28
ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	1	$3	3	0	+3	Gable Steveson	+$0	07-10 19:31
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-26 13:06
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-18 10:16
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:17
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 28 2026 18c	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-27 09:26
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-01 08:50
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-09 19:22
will trump say democrat during fox interview on wednesday	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-15 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	$-1	04-24 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 19:31:53	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Gable Steveson	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf19e66…
07-01 08:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	481	82¢	$395	0xbe6dc4…
06-25 08:19:40	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	390	94¢	$367	0x64f6d3…
06-18 10:16:58	o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc73022…
04-24 08:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa63515…
04-18 08:17:48	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x96c4d4…
04-15 08:35:56	will trump say democrat during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x400417…
04-09 19:22:53	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96a6b6…
04-01 08:07:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8d5475…
03-27 09:26:03	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 28 2026 18c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x138410…
03-18 09:28:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x930113…
03-01 08:50:55	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x72a6a9…
02-26 13:06:30	will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x81f57a…
02-17 21:25:51	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	SELL	369	100¢	$369	0x6c0528…
02-02 22:08:26	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	369	99¢	$367	0xfa4492…
02-02 22:07:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	371	99¢	$367	0x9fbe5f…
01-09 18:46:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	371	97¢	$359	0x9d21d7…
01-09 18:45:10	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	363	99¢	$359	0x87f0d1…
01-01 14:00:53	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	363	98¢	$355	0xeb1d3c…