Nice-Plunger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-17 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 41% $-63

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	11	$142	105	92	+13	Down	$-8	05-10 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	11	$70	91	91	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	10	$65	46	43	+3	Up	+$1	05-10 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	10	$55	59	39	+20	Up	$-2	05-10 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$48	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	14	$44	53	28	+25	Up	+$2	05-10 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$43	48	35	+14	Up	$-1	05-10 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$40	35	29	+6	Down	+$6	05-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$39	50	30	+20	Down	+$1	05-10 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$33	176	76	+100	Up	+$17	05-10 20:24
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$32	222	122	+100	open	—	05-10 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$32	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	8	$29	121	21	+100	Up	+$1	05-10 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$29	37	17	+19	Up	$-11	05-10 19:28
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	5	$26	26	26	+0	open	—	05-12 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$26	23	12	+10	Down	$-4	05-10 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$23	89	29	+59	Down	+$1	05-10 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$20	116	16	+100	Up	+$0	05-10 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$20	48	0	+48	Up	$-20	05-10 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	8	$18	15	15	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$15	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 05:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$13	16	16	+0	open	—	05-12 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	9	$12	38	13	+25	Down	+$0	05-10 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$9	15	6	+9	Up	$-1	05-10 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$8	34	2	+31	Down	$-6	05-10 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$7	11	2	+9	Up	$-5	05-11 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 06:13:07	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1aa21f…
05-15 20:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8274bc…
05-15 16:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6d15fe…
05-15 16:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x48e8e0…
05-15 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xac8cb0…
05-15 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x153152…
05-15 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x99dafd…
05-15 16:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb37df5…
05-15 05:29:56	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x00055b…
05-12 20:17:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0x73a1c7…
05-12 11:10:02	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x259923…
05-12 11:05:17	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x704f9e…
05-12 11:04:38	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x602811…
05-12 09:48:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x9a8849…
05-12 09:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa5ba3c…
05-12 09:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8d1b45…
05-12 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x974f6e…
05-12 07:20:40	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5756d6…
05-12 07:19:56	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x160f55…
05-12 07:08:42	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0xc7143b…
05-12 04:27:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd5cd86…
05-11 17:54:04	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6181b8…
05-11 13:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x9901d2…
05-11 13:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x252e3f…
05-11 12:39:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf90d6e…
05-11 11:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e78b4…
05-11 11:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x09318c…
05-11 11:02:47	Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x55196c…
05-11 11:02:01	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x931673…
05-11 08:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x53a5b2…
05-11 08:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5eeb82…
05-11 08:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xde06f1…
05-11 07:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xd2b9a8…
05-11 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x39f315…
05-11 05:56:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0417ce…
05-11 05:54:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xdb75fc…
05-11 05:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xc5a4ca…
05-11 05:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x44d100…
05-11 05:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x16f7bb…
05-11 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb17e42…
05-11 05:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x8d5fa5…
05-11 05:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9d511e…
05-11 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1c1917…
05-11 05:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x6ea118…
05-11 05:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd36284…
05-11 05:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x625a52…
05-11 05:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x419217…
05-11 05:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4c1749…
05-11 05:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xd74be3…
05-11 05:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9f6798…
05-11 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x03e292…
05-11 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4e3b4d…
05-11 05:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x6b04cb…
05-11 05:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3ec4d6…
05-11 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1582db…
05-11 05:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x486493…
05-11 05:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xc66a65…
05-11 05:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb12fe3…
05-11 05:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x32a606…
05-11 05:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdb07f7…
05-11 05:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ec69e…
05-11 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x29a862…
05-11 05:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x09adb5…
05-11 05:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc42dc4…
05-11 05:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0xa46d95…
05-11 05:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa48a6f…
05-11 05:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x0be01f…
05-11 05:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6c8733…
05-11 05:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1fce53…
05-10 23:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd05630…
05-10 22:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x412432…
05-10 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x37536e…
05-10 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xacd113…
05-10 22:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6436d9…
05-10 22:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2cabee…
05-10 22:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7229c7…
05-10 22:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f7e45…
05-10 22:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd12a97…
05-10 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d4ee4…
05-10 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x015918…
05-10 21:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6cd67e…
05-10 21:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa3f15d…
05-10 21:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b206e…
05-10 21:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb12d8c…
05-10 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xff3878…
05-10 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xd6db2e…
05-10 21:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7814da…
05-10 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8104a…
05-10 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xecbc0f…
05-10 21:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf27041…
05-10 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xf0c092…
05-10 21:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe765a2…
05-10 21:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf784d3…
05-10 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc6c9c3…
05-10 21:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfb263f…
05-10 21:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xf7e4d6…
05-10 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x38cc19…
05-10 21:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd380b3…
05-10 21:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x78830a…
05-10 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb32e4b…