Adorable-Grabbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-28 08:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 33% $-7

Other

9% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$9	14	6	+8	Up	+$1	05-12 08:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$8	67	67	+0	open	—	04-29 07:48
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 11:30
btc updown 15m 1770130800	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	02-03 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$7	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 14:29
btc updown 5m 1782894900	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 08:38
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$6	8	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-04 07:42
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-26 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-26 06:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-12 07:57
btc updown 5m 1784620200	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	07-21 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$4	16	0	+16	Down	$-2	05-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	329	0	+329	Down	$-2	05-13 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	06-02 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$4	52	0	+52	Up	$-2	05-13 14:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 07:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 08:22
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 08:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	07-21 08:01
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 07:43
bitcoin up or down on february 3	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	02-03 11:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 12:26
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 09:35
eth updown 5m 1781089500	2	$4	34	0	+34	open	—	06-10 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 09:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 09:33
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 28	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	01-28 11:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 09:21
will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	07-28 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 08:32:49	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x2c4103…
07-28 08:32:22	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa56c7f…
07-24 07:11:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x83d756…
07-24 07:11:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0556b2…
07-21 08:01:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x859b4b…
07-21 08:00:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd130fb…
07-21 07:54:15	btc updown 5m 1784620200	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x45fa34…
07-21 07:53:27	btc updown 5m 1784620200	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x502c3c…
07-01 08:43:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x777390…
07-01 08:43:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe803d6…
07-01 08:38:59	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xa21c36…
07-01 08:38:23	btc updown 5m 1782894900	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x18b96d…
06-22 08:02:22	btc updown 5m 1782115200	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0e9f5a…
06-10 11:26:28	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x4bb9a1…
06-10 11:26:12	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe9fd8f…
06-10 11:08:55	eth updown 5m 1781089500	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xb6f36c…
06-10 11:08:21	eth updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x07d283…
06-04 08:16:27	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa087ac…
06-04 08:16:01	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf5883d…
06-02 08:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7ca04b…
06-02 08:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x07f926…
05-26 07:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdf2a9a…
05-26 07:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b78f6…
05-26 07:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x40af91…
05-26 06:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdcc4bf…
05-26 06:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x44fc5e…
05-25 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x75712b…
05-15 14:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6cbedf…
05-15 14:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x6c7c51…
05-15 14:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x6ff4b4…
05-15 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x194852…
05-15 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8d49b5…
05-15 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb6f14e…
05-13 14:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x590f6b…
05-13 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x567852…
05-13 14:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xded3b5…
05-13 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90248d…
05-13 07:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	327	1¢	$2	0x4ce2d8…
05-12 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe85f98…
05-12 13:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x14d090…
05-12 08:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc9ebf4…
05-12 08:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xdd2159…
05-12 08:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4ceb42…
05-12 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbd5e0b…
05-12 08:13:55	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6d2857…
05-12 08:13:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd18271…
05-12 07:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x840eb2…
05-12 07:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0faa67…
05-04 07:43:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x6ceeac…
05-04 07:42:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x450a62…
05-04 07:35:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7522cb…
05-04 07:34:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd02982…
05-04 07:32:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x08c8ab…
04-29 08:22:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x6a5eba…
04-29 07:54:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x36fdac…
04-29 07:48:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0xb9d820…
04-29 07:48:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe6f46c…
04-29 07:48:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x18e77d…
04-29 07:47:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb61a90…
04-23 09:35:40	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x08cdcc…
04-23 09:35:30	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2a4dd6…
04-23 09:33:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xdc7406…
04-23 09:26:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x56b022…
04-23 09:23:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x1193de…
04-23 09:21:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x28d48a…
04-23 09:21:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x100a59…
04-23 09:21:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe37416…
04-23 09:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb6146e…
04-23 09:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9ca246…
04-15 11:30:44	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xc042f4…
04-15 11:30:24	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x5f3d5c…
04-15 11:16:38	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb87f04…
04-15 11:07:30	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd14fa2…
04-08 12:26:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1823c5…
04-08 12:26:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x50e026…
04-08 12:12:49	btc updown 5m 1775650200	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5b52e8…
02-06 15:10:07	bitcoin up or down february 6 11pm et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfc46e1…
02-04 12:30:28	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x43738e…
02-03 11:05:54	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8e7eb7…
02-03 11:05:42	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x67b0e7…
02-03 10:58:14	btc updown 15m 1770130800	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x8456d6…
02-03 08:40:26	btc updown 15m 1770130800	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xfef057…
02-02 15:26:36	btc updown 15m 1770130800	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa7e8a6…
02-02 15:26:10	btc updown 15m 1770130800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x65adc0…
01-29 08:51:36	bitcoin above 80k on january 29	No	BUY	327	1¢	$2	0x75efd1…
01-29 08:49:02	will bitcoin reach 92k january 26 1	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc56b9a…
01-28 11:04:19	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 28	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd1310a…
01-28 11:02:11	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 28	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfc0907…
01-28 10:59:49	bitcoin up or down on january 28	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x430230…
01-20 12:59:52	btc updown 15m 1768911300	Up	BUY	1,960	0¢	$2	0xd2ee58…