BTC between $82,000–$84,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 7? 14:57:03 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
16.2¢
24h volume
$638
Liquidity
$10,818
BTC spot (Deribit)
$80,228
Polymarket expiry
May 07
Deribit expiry
May 07

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.146 10 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.178 10 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.822 10 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.854 10 shares
Yes spread 0.032¢ (3.2pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1070 0.1740 0.1398 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 12.5
$70,000 C 0.0935 0.1335 0.1273 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 20.2
$71,000 C 0.0825 0.1505 0.1149 0.0
$71,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0001 0.8
$72,000 C 0.1010 0.1040 0.1025 30.0
$72,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 0.0
$73,000 C 0.0540 0.1265 0.0901 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 38.7
$74,000 C 0.0430 0.1150 0.0778 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0003 0.0006 0.0004 8.0
$75,000 C 0.0300 0.1030 0.0656 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0006 0.0008 0.0007 34.6
$75,500 C 0.0235 0.0970 0.0596 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0008 0.0010 0.0009 7.2
$76,000 C 0.0200 0.0915 0.0536 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0011 0.0013 0.0012 29.6
$76,500 C 0.0145 0.0855 0.0477 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0014 0.0017 0.0015 31.7
$77,000 C 0.0085 0.0800 0.0420 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0019 0.0023 0.0021 14.1
$77,500 C 0.0340 0.0745 0.0365 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0026 0.0030 0.0028 4.6
$78,000 C 0.0295 0.0345 0.0312 0.0
$78,000 P 0.0035 0.0040 0.0037 14.7
$78,500 C 0.0245 0.0295 0.0263 4.0
$78,500 P 0.0047 0.0055 0.0050 8.7
$79,000 C 0.0205 0.0235 0.0217 7.6
$79,000 P 0.0065 0.0070 0.0067 4.0
$79,500 C 0.0170 0.0185 0.0176 9.2
$79,500 P 0.0085 0.0095 0.0088 15.2
$80,000 C 0.0135 0.0145 0.0140 213.6
$80,000 P 0.0110 0.0120 0.0114 9.9
$80,500 C 0.0105 0.0115 0.0109 54.6
$80,500 P 0.0145 0.0150 0.0146 0.4
$81,000 C 0.0080 0.0090 0.0083 31.6
$81,000 P 0.0175 0.0195 0.0182 0.1
$81,500 C 0.0060 0.0070 0.0063 126.9
$81,500 P 0.0210 0.0235 0.0225 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0046 0.0050 0.0047 13.3
$82,000 P 0.0019 0.0460 0.0271 0.0
$82,500 C 0.0034 0.0037 0.0034 41.5
$82,500 P 0.0270 0.0745 0.0321 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0024 0.0028 0.0025 43.7
$83,000 P 0.0042 0.0805 0.0374 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0012 0.0016 0.0014 40.1
$84,000 P 0.0255 0.0925 0.0487 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0007 0.0009 0.0008 26.7
$85,000 P 0.0355 0.1050 0.0606 0.0