BTC between $82,000–$84,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6? 14:53:53 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
18.5¢
24h volume
$1,719
Liquidity
$6,648
BTC spot (Deribit)
$80,436
Polymarket expiry
May 06
Deribit expiry
May 06

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.170 50 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.200 100 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.800 100 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.830 50 shares
Yes spread 0.030¢ (3.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1360 0.1755 0.1419 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 6.0
$70,000 C 0.1250 0.1600 0.1295 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 51.2
$71,000 C 0.1155 0.1185 0.1170 25.3
$71,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 23.4
$72,000 C 0.0685 0.1400 0.1046 0.0
$72,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 45.3
$73,000 C 0.0550 0.0970 0.0922 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 14.1
$74,000 C 0.0425 0.1140 0.0798 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0001 51.5
$75,000 C 0.0295 0.1010 0.0675 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0002 50.9
$75,500 C 0.0275 0.0950 0.0614 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 21.7
$76,000 C 0.0290 0.0795 0.0552 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0004 0.0006 0.0004 46.0
$76,500 C 0.0170 0.0760 0.0492 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 17.6
$77,000 C 0.0205 0.0645 0.0432 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0007 0.0010 0.0008 14.3
$77,500 C 0.0090 0.0545 0.0373 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0011 0.0013 0.0011 18.7
$78,000 C 0.0295 0.0330 0.0316 16.9
$78,000 P 0.0016 0.0018 0.0017 71.9
$78,500 C 0.0250 0.0280 0.0262 13.0
$78,500 P 0.0023 0.0027 0.0025 38.6
$79,000 C 0.0200 0.0225 0.0212 62.6
$79,000 P 0.0035 0.0039 0.0037 29.8
$79,500 C 0.0155 0.0170 0.0166 17.1
$79,500 P 0.0050 0.0055 0.0053 19.6
$80,000 C 0.0125 0.0130 0.0127 137.3
$80,000 P 0.0070 0.0080 0.0076 14.7
$80,500 C 0.0090 0.0100 0.0093 8.9
$80,500 P 0.0100 0.0110 0.0105 2.1
$81,000 C 0.0065 0.0070 0.0067 52.1
$81,000 P 0.0130 0.0150 0.0140 0.3
$81,500 C 0.0046 0.0049 0.0047 19.8
$81,500 P 0.0165 0.0195 0.0183 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0031 0.0035 0.0032 131.1
$82,000 P 0.0195 0.0245 0.0230 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0013 0.0017 0.0015 10.9
$83,000 P 0.0048 0.0630 0.0337 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0006 0.0008 0.0007 44.6
$84,000 P 0.0210 0.0470 0.0454 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0003 0.0004 0.0004 4.3
$85,000 P 0.0240 0.0600 0.0575 0.0
$86,000 C 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 53.5
$86,000 P 0.0365 0.0720 0.0698 0.0