BTC between $76,000–$78,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7? 13:22:56 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
22.5¢
24h volume
$308
Liquidity
$8,933
BTC spot (Deribit)
$79,024
Polymarket expiry
May 07
Deribit expiry
May 07

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.220 6301 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.230 5 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.770 5 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.780 6301 shares
Yes spread 0.010¢ (1.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1110 0.1620 0.1272 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 12.5
$70,000 C 0.0845 0.1345 0.1145 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 20.2
$71,000 C 0.0735 0.1190 0.1020 0.0
$71,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 0.8
$72,000 C 0.0875 0.0910 0.0894 30.0
$72,000 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 0.0
$73,000 C 0.0725 0.1090 0.0769 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0005 0.0006 0.0005 38.3
$74,000 C 0.0260 0.0970 0.0646 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0007 0.0009 0.0008 7.9
$75,000 C 0.0180 0.0855 0.0524 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0013 0.0015 0.0013 34.6
$75,500 C 0.0145 0.0790 0.0465 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0016 0.0019 0.0017 7.2
$76,000 C 0.0110 0.0740 0.0407 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0022 0.0025 0.0023 29.7
$76,500 C 0.0042 0.0680 0.0352 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0029 0.0033 0.0031 31.7
$77,000 C 0.0260 0.0635 0.0299 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0040 0.0044 0.0042 12.8
$77,500 C 0.0010 0.0265 0.0250 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0050 0.0060 0.0056 4.2
$78,000 C 0.0195 0.0220 0.0205 0.0
$78,000 P 0.0070 0.0080 0.0074 13.6
$78,500 C 0.0160 0.0170 0.0165 4.0
$78,500 P 0.0095 0.0100 0.0097 8.7
$79,000 C 0.0125 0.0135 0.0130 7.6
$79,000 P 0.0120 0.0130 0.0125 3.7
$79,500 C 0.0095 0.0105 0.0100 4.1
$79,500 P 0.0155 0.0165 0.0158 11.2
$80,000 C 0.0070 0.0080 0.0075 169.2
$80,000 P 0.0190 0.0205 0.0196 7.2
$80,500 C 0.0050 0.0060 0.0056 51.5
$80,500 P 0.0220 0.0270 0.0241 0.4
$81,000 C 0.0039 0.0042 0.0041 30.8
$81,000 P 0.0032 0.0715 0.0289 0.1
$81,500 C 0.0027 0.0031 0.0029 7.2
$81,500 P 0.0047 0.0755 0.0341 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0019 0.0023 0.0021 13.1
$82,000 P 0.0360 0.0830 0.0396 0.0
$82,500 C 0.0014 0.0016 0.0015 26.0
$82,500 P 0.0120 0.0895 0.0453 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0009 0.0010 0.0011 43.6
$83,000 P 0.0200 0.0955 0.0512 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 39.9
$84,000 P 0.0285 0.1040 0.0633 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0002 0.0005 0.0003 26.7
$85,000 P 0.0410 0.1170 0.0758 0.0