BTC between $80,000–$82,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6? 13:19:50 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
22.2¢
24h volume
$583
Liquidity
$7,487
BTC spot (Deribit)
$78,929
Polymarket expiry
May 06
Deribit expiry
May 06

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.195 10 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.249 10 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.751 10 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.805 10 shares
Yes spread 0.054¢ (5.4pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1240 0.1275 0.1258 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 6.0
$70,000 C 0.1120 0.1145 0.1132 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 51.2
$71,000 C 0.0995 0.1020 0.1005 25.3
$71,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 23.4
$72,000 C 0.0860 0.0895 0.0879 0.0
$72,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 45.1
$73,000 C 0.0605 0.0770 0.0753 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 14.1
$74,000 C 0.0610 0.0645 0.0628 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 50.9
$75,000 C 0.0485 0.0525 0.0504 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0006 0.0008 0.0007 50.8
$75,500 C 0.0425 0.0460 0.0443 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0008 0.0010 0.0009 20.8
$76,000 C 0.0365 0.0400 0.0383 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0011 0.0014 0.0013 45.3
$76,500 C 0.0310 0.0345 0.0325 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0016 0.0020 0.0018 17.0
$77,000 C 0.0255 0.0290 0.0270 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0024 0.0028 0.0026 12.2
$77,500 C 0.0200 0.0235 0.0218 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0035 0.0038 0.0038 16.9
$78,000 C 0.0165 0.0180 0.0172 16.9
$78,000 P 0.0050 0.0060 0.0054 59.0
$78,500 C 0.0125 0.0135 0.0131 13.0
$78,500 P 0.0070 0.0080 0.0077 35.5
$79,000 C 0.0090 0.0100 0.0096 62.1
$79,000 P 0.0100 0.0110 0.0106 29.1
$79,500 C 0.0065 0.0070 0.0068 16.7
$79,500 P 0.0135 0.0150 0.0141 19.6
$80,000 C 0.0045 0.0049 0.0048 137.1
$80,000 P 0.0170 0.0195 0.0184 8.2
$80,500 C 0.0030 0.0033 0.0032 6.7
$80,500 P 0.0215 0.0250 0.0232 2.1
$81,000 C 0.0019 0.0023 0.0022 50.2
$81,000 P 0.0265 0.0300 0.0285 0.3
$81,500 C 0.0013 0.0016 0.0015 18.8
$81,500 P 0.0325 0.0355 0.0341 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0009 0.0011 0.0010 132.8
$82,000 P 0.0380 0.0420 0.0399 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 10.8
$83,000 P 0.0495 0.0545 0.0521 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0002 0.0003 0.0002 43.9
$84,000 P 0.0620 0.0670 0.0645 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 3.8
$85,000 P 0.0745 0.0935 0.0771 0.0
$86,000 C 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 53.5
$86,000 P 0.0840 0.0920 0.0898 0.0