BTC between $74,000–$76,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 6? 14:52:30 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
2.2¢
24h volume
$88
Liquidity
$8,454
BTC spot (Deribit)
$80,420
Polymarket expiry
May 06
Deribit expiry
May 06

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.020 100 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.024 5 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.976 5 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.980 100 shares
Yes spread 0.004¢ (0.4pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1345 0.1455 0.1415 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 6.0
$70,000 C 0.1245 0.1605 0.1291 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 51.2
$71,000 C 0.1150 0.1180 0.1167 25.3
$71,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 23.4
$72,000 C 0.0001 0.1090 0.1042 0.0
$72,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 45.3
$73,000 C 0.0001 0.0965 0.0919 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 14.1
$74,000 C 0.0001 0.1145 0.0795 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0001 51.5
$75,000 C 0.0655 0.0700 0.0671 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0002 50.9
$75,500 C 0.0002 0.1350 0.0610 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0003 0.0004 0.0003 21.7
$76,000 C 0.0010 0.1290 0.0548 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0004 0.0006 0.0004 46.0
$76,500 C 0.0470 0.0515 0.0488 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 17.6
$77,000 C 0.0006 0.0455 0.0428 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0007 0.0010 0.0008 14.3
$77,500 C 0.0002 0.0395 0.0369 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0011 0.0014 0.0012 18.7
$78,000 C 0.0295 0.0330 0.0313 16.9
$78,000 P 0.0016 0.0020 0.0017 71.9
$78,500 C 0.0240 0.0275 0.0259 13.0
$78,500 P 0.0024 0.0028 0.0025 38.6
$79,000 C 0.0190 0.0225 0.0209 62.6
$79,000 P 0.0035 0.0040 0.0038 29.8
$79,500 C 0.0155 0.0170 0.0163 17.1
$79,500 P 0.0050 0.0060 0.0055 19.6
$80,000 C 0.0115 0.0130 0.0124 137.3
$80,000 P 0.0070 0.0085 0.0078 11.6
$80,500 C 0.0085 0.0095 0.0091 8.9
$80,500 P 0.0100 0.0110 0.0107 2.1
$81,000 C 0.0060 0.0070 0.0065 52.1
$81,000 P 0.0130 0.0150 0.0143 0.3
$81,500 C 0.0042 0.0049 0.0045 19.8
$81,500 P 0.0006 0.0205 0.0185 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0028 0.0035 0.0031 131.1
$82,000 P 0.0055 0.0270 0.0234 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0012 0.0017 0.0015 10.9
$83,000 P 0.0006 0.0815 0.0341 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0005 0.0009 0.0007 44.6
$84,000 P 0.0002 0.1295 0.0458 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0002 0.0004 0.0004 4.3
$85,000 P 0.0004 0.0620 0.0579 0.0
$86,000 C 0.0001 0.0004 0.0003 53.5
$86,000 P 0.0001 0.0755 0.0702 0.0