BTC between $78,000–$80,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 7? 14:55:41 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
25.5¢
24h volume
$111
Liquidity
$6,561
BTC spot (Deribit)
$80,470
Polymarket expiry
May 07
Deribit expiry
May 07

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.240 6356 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.270 5 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.730 5 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.760 6356 shares
Yes spread 0.030¢ (3.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1065 0.1465 0.1420 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 12.5
$70,000 C 0.1250 0.1340 0.1296 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 20.2
$71,000 C 0.0820 0.1530 0.1173 0.0
$71,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 0.8
$72,000 C 0.1030 0.1065 0.1049 30.0
$72,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 0.0
$73,000 C 0.0875 0.0970 0.0925 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0002 38.7
$74,000 C 0.0420 0.1165 0.0802 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 8.0
$75,000 C 0.0645 0.1050 0.0680 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0006 0.0007 0.0006 34.6
$75,500 C 0.0580 0.0990 0.0619 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0007 0.0009 0.0007 7.2
$76,000 C 0.0190 0.0945 0.0559 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0009 0.0011 0.0010 29.6
$76,500 C 0.0135 0.0885 0.0500 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0012 0.0015 0.0013 31.7
$77,000 C 0.0415 0.0820 0.0443 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0016 0.0020 0.0017 14.1
$77,500 C 0.0355 0.0775 0.0387 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0022 0.0026 0.0023 4.6
$78,000 C 0.0305 0.0370 0.0333 0.0
$78,000 P 0.0030 0.0035 0.0032 14.7
$78,500 C 0.0255 0.0315 0.0282 4.0
$78,500 P 0.0042 0.0045 0.0043 8.7
$79,000 C 0.0225 0.0250 0.0235 7.6
$79,000 P 0.0055 0.0060 0.0058 4.0
$79,500 C 0.0185 0.0205 0.0194 9.2
$79,500 P 0.0075 0.0080 0.0077 15.2
$80,000 C 0.0150 0.0160 0.0155 213.6
$80,000 P 0.0095 0.0105 0.0102 8.8
$80,500 C 0.0120 0.0125 0.0122 54.6
$80,500 P 0.0125 0.0135 0.0131 0.4
$81,000 C 0.0090 0.0100 0.0094 31.6
$81,000 P 0.0160 0.0170 0.0164 0.1
$81,500 C 0.0070 0.0080 0.0072 115.0
$81,500 P 0.0190 0.0220 0.0206 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0055 0.0060 0.0054 13.3
$82,000 P 0.0017 0.0470 0.0250 0.0
$82,500 C 0.0039 0.0044 0.0040 41.5
$82,500 P 0.0255 0.0725 0.0298 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0028 0.0032 0.0029 43.7
$83,000 P 0.0032 0.0770 0.0350 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0015 0.0018 0.0016 40.1
$84,000 P 0.0235 0.0890 0.0461 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0008 0.0010 0.0009 26.7
$85,000 P 0.0335 0.1015 0.0579 0.0