BTC between $76,000–$78,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6? 13:18:47 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
25.0¢
24h volume
$6,871
Liquidity
$12,162
BTC spot (Deribit)
$78,945
Polymarket expiry
May 06
Deribit expiry
May 06

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.230 6301 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.270 6301 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.730 6301 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.770 6301 shares
Yes spread 0.040¢ (4.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1240 0.1275 0.1260 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 6.0
$70,000 C 0.1120 0.1145 0.1134 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 51.2
$71,000 C 0.0990 0.1020 0.1007 25.3
$71,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0001 23.4
$72,000 C 0.0860 0.0900 0.0881 0.0
$72,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 45.1
$73,000 C 0.0510 0.0770 0.0756 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 14.1
$74,000 C 0.0610 0.0645 0.0630 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 50.9
$75,000 C 0.0485 0.0525 0.0506 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0006 0.0008 0.0007 50.8
$75,500 C 0.0425 0.0460 0.0445 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0008 0.0010 0.0009 20.8
$76,000 C 0.0365 0.0400 0.0385 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0011 0.0014 0.0013 45.3
$76,500 C 0.0310 0.0340 0.0328 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0016 0.0020 0.0018 17.0
$77,000 C 0.0255 0.0285 0.0272 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0024 0.0028 0.0026 12.2
$77,500 C 0.0200 0.0235 0.0220 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0035 0.0038 0.0037 16.9
$78,000 C 0.0165 0.0180 0.0173 16.9
$78,000 P 0.0050 0.0055 0.0054 59.0
$78,500 C 0.0125 0.0135 0.0132 13.0
$78,500 P 0.0070 0.0080 0.0076 35.5
$79,000 C 0.0095 0.0100 0.0097 62.1
$79,000 P 0.0100 0.0110 0.0105 29.1
$79,500 C 0.0065 0.0075 0.0070 16.7
$79,500 P 0.0130 0.0150 0.0140 19.6
$80,000 C 0.0046 0.0049 0.0049 137.1
$80,000 P 0.0170 0.0200 0.0182 8.2
$80,500 C 0.0030 0.0034 0.0033 6.7
$80,500 P 0.0215 0.0250 0.0230 2.1
$81,000 C 0.0020 0.0023 0.0022 50.2
$81,000 P 0.0265 0.0300 0.0283 0.3
$81,500 C 0.0013 0.0016 0.0015 18.8
$81,500 P 0.0325 0.0355 0.0339 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0009 0.0011 0.0010 132.8
$82,000 P 0.0380 0.0420 0.0397 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 10.8
$83,000 P 0.0495 0.0540 0.0519 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0002 0.0004 0.0002 43.9
$84,000 P 0.0620 0.0665 0.0643 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 3.8
$85,000 P 0.0745 0.1055 0.0769 0.0
$86,000 C 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 53.5
$86,000 P 0.0840 0.0915 0.0895 0.0