BTC between $80,000–$82,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7? 13:21:23 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
21.5¢
24h volume
$249
Liquidity
$6,631
BTC spot (Deribit)
$78,960
Polymarket expiry
May 07
Deribit expiry
May 07

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.200 6361 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.230 5 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.770 5 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.800 6361 shares
Yes spread 0.030¢ (3.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1070 0.1310 0.1264 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 12.5
$70,000 C 0.0810 0.1385 0.1137 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 20.2
$71,000 C 0.0700 0.1235 0.1012 0.0
$71,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 0.8
$72,000 C 0.0870 0.0895 0.0886 30.0
$72,000 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0004 0.0
$73,000 C 0.0710 0.0805 0.0761 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0005 0.0007 0.0006 38.3
$74,000 C 0.0590 0.0675 0.0637 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0007 0.0010 0.0008 7.9
$75,000 C 0.0475 0.0560 0.0516 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0013 0.0016 0.0014 34.6
$75,500 C 0.0420 0.0495 0.0457 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0017 0.0020 0.0018 7.2
$76,000 C 0.0365 0.0440 0.0400 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0023 0.0026 0.0024 29.7
$76,500 C 0.0310 0.0380 0.0345 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0031 0.0034 0.0032 31.7
$77,000 C 0.0255 0.0325 0.0293 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0042 0.0045 0.0043 12.8
$77,500 C 0.0215 0.0265 0.0244 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0055 0.0060 0.0058 4.2
$78,000 C 0.0190 0.0205 0.0200 0.0
$78,000 P 0.0075 0.0080 0.0077 13.6
$78,500 C 0.0155 0.0165 0.0160 4.0
$78,500 P 0.0095 0.0105 0.0101 8.7
$79,000 C 0.0120 0.0130 0.0125 7.6
$79,000 P 0.0125 0.0135 0.0130 3.7
$79,500 C 0.0090 0.0100 0.0096 4.1
$79,500 P 0.0160 0.0170 0.0163 11.2
$80,000 C 0.0065 0.0075 0.0072 169.2
$80,000 P 0.0195 0.0220 0.0202 7.2
$80,500 C 0.0050 0.0055 0.0054 51.5
$80,500 P 0.0215 0.0280 0.0248 0.4
$81,000 C 0.0037 0.0041 0.0039 30.8
$81,000 P 0.0265 0.0335 0.0296 0.1
$81,500 C 0.0026 0.0030 0.0028 7.2
$81,500 P 0.0315 0.0385 0.0348 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0018 0.0021 0.0020 12.9
$82,000 P 0.0360 0.0450 0.0404 0.0
$82,500 C 0.0012 0.0015 0.0014 26.0
$82,500 P 0.0420 0.0505 0.0461 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0009 0.0010 0.0010 43.6
$83,000 P 0.0480 0.0570 0.0521 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0004 0.0006 0.0005 39.9
$84,000 P 0.0595 0.0690 0.0643 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 26.7
$85,000 P 0.0720 0.0815 0.0767 0.0