BTC between $78,000–$80,000

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 6? 14:56:16 UTC · ↻ refresh · poly ↗

✗ Cannot compute

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Polymarket implied
29.5¢
24h volume
$463
Liquidity
$9,865
BTC spot (Deribit)
$80,406
Polymarket expiry
May 06
Deribit expiry
May 06

Polymarket book (live)

Yes
best bid (sell @) $0.270 6306 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.320 6311 shares
No
best bid (sell @) $0.680 6311 shares
best ask (buy @) $0.730 6306 shares
Yes spread 0.050¢ (5.0pp)

Deribit hedge (live)

Between-strike binaries need 4 legs (two spreads). v1 skip.

Show nearest-expiry chain (50 contracts)
StrikeTypeBidAskMarkOI
$69,000 C 0.1090 0.1745 0.1416 0.0
$69,000 P 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 6.0
$70,000 C 0.0960 0.1590 0.1291 0.0
$70,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 51.2
$71,000 C 0.1155 0.1180 0.1167 25.3
$71,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 23.4
$72,000 C 0.0700 0.1390 0.1043 0.0
$72,000 P 0.0000 0.0002 0.0000 45.3
$73,000 C 0.0570 0.1265 0.0919 0.0
$73,000 P 0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 14.1
$74,000 C 0.0445 0.1130 0.0795 0.0
$74,000 P 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 51.5
$75,000 C 0.0315 0.1000 0.0672 0.0
$75,000 P 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 50.9
$75,500 C 0.0490 0.0625 0.0610 0.0
$75,500 P 0.0003 0.0005 0.0003 21.7
$76,000 C 0.0535 0.0565 0.0549 0.0
$76,000 P 0.0004 0.0006 0.0005 46.0
$76,500 C 0.0475 0.0505 0.0488 0.0
$76,500 P 0.0005 0.0008 0.0006 17.6
$77,000 C 0.0410 0.0445 0.0429 0.0
$77,000 P 0.0008 0.0010 0.0008 14.3
$77,500 C 0.0046 0.0385 0.0370 0.0
$77,500 P 0.0011 0.0014 0.0012 18.7
$78,000 C 0.0300 0.0330 0.0313 16.9
$78,000 P 0.0017 0.0020 0.0017 71.9
$78,500 C 0.0245 0.0270 0.0259 13.0
$78,500 P 0.0025 0.0029 0.0026 38.6
$79,000 C 0.0195 0.0220 0.0209 62.6
$79,000 P 0.0037 0.0041 0.0038 29.9
$79,500 C 0.0155 0.0170 0.0164 17.1
$79,500 P 0.0050 0.0060 0.0055 19.6
$80,000 C 0.0120 0.0130 0.0124 137.3
$80,000 P 0.0075 0.0085 0.0077 14.7
$80,500 C 0.0085 0.0095 0.0092 8.9
$80,500 P 0.0105 0.0115 0.0107 2.9
$81,000 C 0.0060 0.0070 0.0066 52.1
$81,000 P 0.0135 0.0155 0.0143 0.3
$81,500 C 0.0045 0.0049 0.0046 19.8
$81,500 P 0.0170 0.0200 0.0186 0.0
$82,000 C 0.0030 0.0035 0.0032 131.1
$82,000 P 0.0215 0.0250 0.0234 0.0
$83,000 C 0.0013 0.0017 0.0015 10.9
$83,000 P 0.0325 0.0400 0.0341 0.0
$84,000 C 0.0006 0.0009 0.0007 44.6
$84,000 P 0.0195 0.0475 0.0458 0.0
$85,000 C 0.0002 0.0004 0.0003 4.4
$85,000 P 0.0550 0.0685 0.0578 0.0
$86,000 C 0.0001 0.0003 0.0002 53.5
$86,000 P 0.0680 0.0785 0.0702 0.0