Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?
open
Total volume
$268
$660 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,299
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $40 | $222 | $182 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $113 | $113 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 13 | $39 | $62 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zigzag-Violin 0x9548…1002 | No | +91 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 19:12 |
| Elliptical-Tofu 0xeb82…fa1d | Yes | +72 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-05 12:00 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +51 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Advanced-Need 0x0eb2…ad6f | Yes | +45 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | +28 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 09:41 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 14:54 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 08:30 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 19:34 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 04:45 |
| Cute-Kid 0x3023…465c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:13 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:20 |
| Upset-Nurse 0x990e…cecf | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:49 |
| Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6c9…4145 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 21:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:54:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x50bc73… |
| 05-05 21:05:08 | (anonymous) 0xe6c9…4145 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x980d15… |
| 05-05 20:49:48 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x0620ad… |
| 05-05 20:49:44 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa10fa3… |
| 05-05 20:49:44 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xce3d33… |
| 05-05 20:49:42 | Upset-Nurse 0x990e…cecf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdbc8f3… |
| 05-05 20:20:08 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3493d4… |
| 05-05 19:36:56 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x61ad6f… |
| 05-05 19:34:58 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xb62868… |
| 05-05 19:24:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xfa9833… |
| 05-05 19:12:52 | Zigzag-Violin 0x9548…1002 | No | BUY | 91 | 84¢ | $76 | 0xdca792… |
| 05-05 18:33:12 | (anonymous) 0xe6c9…4145 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xbc9014… |
| 05-05 18:14:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x38e185… |
| 05-05 18:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x06aa79… |
| 05-05 18:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x521392… |
| 05-05 18:13:04 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd3ebc6… |
| 05-05 18:13:04 | Cute-Kid 0x3023…465c | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x6ab813… |
| 05-05 16:39:50 | Advanced-Need 0x0eb2…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xc9087d… |
| 05-05 14:54:28 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x10a164… |
| 05-05 14:05:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xb94b02… |
| 05-05 12:00:22 | Elliptical-Tofu 0xeb82…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 72 | 24¢ | $17 | 0x5db401… |
| 05-05 12:00:22 | Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x0b6a83… |
| 05-05 09:41:22 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x867bca… |
| 05-05 08:30:14 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x6c4a01… |
| 05-05 05:40:12 | Loose-Puffin 0x5354…625f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4cde20… |
| 05-05 04:45:10 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xe1da6e… |
| 05-05 00:09:58 | Concerned-Chef 0xe9b1…79d7 | No | BUY | 28 | 82¢ | $23 | 0x14698c… |
| 05-04 21:09:30 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 34 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x4ce493… |
| 05-04 21:09:20 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x63b868… |
| 05-04 21:09:20 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xca7ae4… |
| 05-04 20:49:42 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xbbc7b4… |