Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on May 13?
open
Total volume
$40
$15 in 24h
Trades
19
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,422
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 01:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 6 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:28 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 20:23 |
| Novel-Porter 0xd05f…018e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:28:04 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6f8606… |
| 05-12 00:28:15 | Novel-Porter 0xd05f…018e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x56aaa2… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03ba9b… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3e7c1… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d21f0… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d80b9… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb59eb3… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84c5e5… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe3bd1… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae16bb… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd133ba… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f0e31… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9d3d4… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ffa00… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b5898… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5874db… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c1a16… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaabdc… |
| 05-11 20:23:04 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd0ad5d… |