Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 12?
closed
Total volume
$773
$3,132 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 16:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $645 | — | +$645 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $471 | — | +$471 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $107 | — | +$107 |
| Median | 4 | $41 | — | +$41 |
| Below median | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | +505 | $331 | $331 | 2 | 05-11 20:58 |
| Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | +107 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 05-11 23:07 |
| Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Hefty-Wool 0x536c…1c05 | Yes | +32 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-12 00:17 |
| Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | +26 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 01:44 |
| Supportive-Load 0xb806…6787 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 13:48 |
| Anguished-Secrecy 0x0f12…59dd | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 08:22 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:41 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:49 |
| Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:40 |
| Unhappy-Bacon 0x49f9…32b0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 16:01:56 | Unhappy-Bacon 0x49f9…32b0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x87a806… |
| 05-12 13:48:00 | Supportive-Load 0xb806…6787 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xe40c2f… |
| 05-12 08:22:39 | Anguished-Secrecy 0x0f12…59dd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xa5b498… |
| 05-12 06:05:55 | Spanish-Seagull 0xeb8b…8e96 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 76¢ | $102 | 0xfd6f72… |
| 05-12 03:40:48 | Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9d72ea… |
| 05-12 01:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x954738… |
| 05-12 01:44:10 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x014110… |
| 05-12 01:03:53 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8ce069… |
| 05-12 01:03:27 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa9c5e1… |
| 05-12 00:43:02 | Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | BUY | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0xdb3d77… |
| 05-12 00:17:54 | Hefty-Wool 0x536c…1c05 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 83¢ | $26 | 0xe290a8… |
| 05-11 23:41:52 | Spanish-Seagull 0xeb8b…8e96 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 83¢ | $90 | 0x0d766a… |
| 05-11 23:07:17 | (anonymous) 0xc0bf…0fb0 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x756f4e… |
| 05-11 23:07:15 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xda5a54… |
| 05-11 20:58:01 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 71¢ | $117 | 0x905110… |
| 05-11 20:33:01 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 340 | 63¢ | $214 | 0x79282f… |
| 05-11 14:21:14 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xedc0e5… |
| 05-11 12:49:37 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xfac992… |
| 05-11 10:41:12 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xb5f939… |
| 05-11 10:25:51 | Active-Graduate 0x6e5c…adc7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0x5782ab… |
| 05-11 08:10:10 | Impossible-Spree 0x9be9…7017 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x4cf2f2… |