Unhappy-Bacon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

29,802

Trades

187,543

lifetime

Volume

$1.64M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$202

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-17 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 93% -$5,598

Other

16% 99% +$701

Sports

0% 60% +$461

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1799 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-144	-$137	95¢	$-137	-$1	05-27 11:58
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	-105	-$99	61¢	$-64	+$35	06-26 14:03
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	+$0	05-27 21:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	44	$30.1K	17,372	12,910	+4,462	No	+$58	04-01 14:55
highest temperature in chongqing on march 29 2026 19c	2	$12.0K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$24	03-29 16:05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	161	$11.9K	6,245	6,217	+27	No	+$15	04-27 09:06
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	26	$10.6K	5,193	5,500	-307	Yes	+$24	04-01 08:48
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$10.5K	6,000	4,500	+1,500	No	+$25	03-24 16:01
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	37	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$5	03-31 06:37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	99	$9.3K	4,898	4,593	+304	No	+$17	04-22 17:48
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	99	$8.8K	4,708	4,426	+282	No	+$32	04-21 02:32
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	33	$7.6K	3,007	4,731	-1,724	Yes	+$22	03-18 20:38
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	43	$7.5K	4,839	4,450	+389	Yes	+$1,474	04-14 16:18
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	16	$7.4K	4,000	3,420	+580	Yes	+$8	03-05 17:38
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	29	$7.2K	4,981	3,413	+1,568	No	+$38	04-14 02:48
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	29	$7.1K	3,721	3,353	+368	No	+$7	03-24 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C or below on May 13?	57	$5.2K	2,847	2,347	+500	No	+$5	05-13 00:28
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$5.0K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	Yes	+$1	04-22 17:25
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	106	$4.7K	3,296	2,047	+1,250	No	+$55	04-23 14:41
idOS FDV above $80M one day after launch?	8	$4.4K	2,182	2,182	+0	No	+$2	03-07 02:24
highest temperature in jakarta on april 10 2026 26c	28	$4.2K	2,520	1,806	+714	No	+$75	04-09 23:55
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$4.2K	1,620	2,620	-1,000	No	+$10	03-30 19:21
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	13	$4.2K	1,443	2,755	-1,312	No	+$1	03-06 19:03
highest temperature in chengdu on march 23 2026 13c	3	$4.0K	4,025	0	+4,025	No	+$7	03-22 16:01
highest temperature in singapore on march 28 2026 32c	5	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$4	03-28 11:24
Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?	12	$3.7K	2,026	1,692	+333	Yes	+$4	03-05 18:07
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	18	$3.7K	2,122	1,622	+500	No	+$30	03-24 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	7	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$4	06-03 12:04
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 26 2026 22c	3	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$4	03-25 18:17
highest temperature in singapore on march 26 2026 33c	28	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$4	03-26 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on May 9?	29	$3.2K	1,591	1,591	+0	No	+$2	05-08 16:16
Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch?	9	$3.1K	1,487	1,645	-158	No	+$4	03-18 13:20
highest temperature in chengdu on march 29 2026 18c	5	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	03-29 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 06:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd8d1d3…
08-17 06:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x2e5375…
08-17 06:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x117dec…
08-17 06:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d4f49…
08-17 06:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c6bf8…
08-17 06:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x68da09…
08-17 06:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x6af0a6…
08-17 06:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x32ff6e…
08-17 06:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xffffb2…
08-17 06:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4c8695…
08-17 06:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4037c2…
08-17 06:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xf6c41f…
08-17 06:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x502f9d…
08-17 06:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xba3f53…
08-17 06:14:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xde779e…
08-17 06:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x5edc0a…
08-17 06:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa21210…
08-17 06:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd23ab6…
08-17 06:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x118682…
08-17 06:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x0a899c…
08-17 06:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x07109a…
08-17 06:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xfb6480…
08-17 06:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x5620db…
08-17 06:00:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x23f8b7…
08-17 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd2e9fd…
08-17 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x23f24c…
08-17 06:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x03e7fc…
08-17 06:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xc846a5…
08-17 06:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb16179…
08-17 06:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x42ef2c…
08-17 06:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd4d3bc…
08-17 06:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3012d6…
08-17 06:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5f6647…
08-17 05:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x740053…
08-17 05:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x4e23af…
08-17 05:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x321adb…
08-17 05:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e8c39…
08-17 05:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6febd6…
08-17 05:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x22f3c8…
08-17 05:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x323974…
08-17 05:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x866e89…
08-17 05:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6983ba…
08-17 05:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xea86db…
08-17 05:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x201ed2…
08-17 05:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x54101a…
08-17 05:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb7bc8…
08-17 05:45:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9fa043…
08-17 05:45:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7aa0b6…
08-17 05:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x81fd19…
08-17 05:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0eb6a5…
08-17 05:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x692e8d…
08-17 05:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x82a68e…
08-17 05:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x10f9ba…
08-17 05:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0xdb39ff…
08-17 05:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xf6fa5c…
08-17 05:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd65d3a…
08-17 05:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x6ed8ab…
08-17 05:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x10c80b…
08-17 05:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x7e8649…
08-17 05:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc0ebea…
08-17 05:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x79152b…
08-17 05:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe722d2…
08-17 05:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x18ba39…
08-17 05:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf8b606…
08-17 05:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x56fe5b…
08-17 05:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x28be1e…
08-17 05:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x2956f2…
08-17 05:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc1de15…
08-17 05:30:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf48ba6…
08-17 05:30:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x831f95…
08-17 05:29:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xf90914…
08-17 05:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xfb61eb…
08-17 05:29:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbdc4b2…
08-17 05:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x87e4a4…
08-17 05:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2a315…
08-17 05:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9a16a8…
08-17 05:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	48¢	$11	0xdc3dfb…
08-17 05:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xc03109…
08-17 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xbfb060…
08-17 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xae039b…
08-17 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x83716e…
08-17 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x8150d6…
08-17 05:16:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2cc58b…
08-17 05:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc5afce…
08-17 05:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa6960…
08-17 05:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x78a308…
08-17 05:16:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x0fcdcf…
08-17 05:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0xbd2162…
08-17 05:15:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa1e2d8…
08-17 05:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xdf5cdb…
08-17 05:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x6e18a9…
08-17 05:09:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc411de…
08-17 05:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd35451…
08-17 05:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc29da9…
08-17 05:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc000fe…
08-17 05:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09cde4…
08-17 05:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb86ac4…
08-17 05:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x76ccd5…
08-17 05:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x647006…
08-17 05:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x310f51…