Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?
open
Total volume
$82
$407 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,251
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $4 | $77 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 11 | $4 | $55 | $51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | +103 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-05 22:10 |
| Essential-Chrome 0x9aaa…2b29 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:09 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Other-Dynamite 0x2efb…04af | Yes | +23 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 06:35 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-05 18:32 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 08:30 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 23:00 |
| Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:43 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:26 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-05 22:10 |
| Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 18:32 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 23:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 23:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xdbf2…f9f6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd8526a… |
| 05-05 23:00:20 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x9f8499… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb32ed1… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc2fd47… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaecf92… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb49f6d… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf04d58… |
| 05-05 22:10:12 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2493a4… |
| 05-05 21:54:40 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a98fa… |
| 05-05 20:49:44 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb98eff… |
| 05-05 19:36:56 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9df12e… |
| 05-05 19:24:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x226738… |
| 05-05 18:43:56 | Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x196e56… |
| 05-05 18:32:56 | (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x0178a9… |
| 05-05 18:32:44 | (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xa44e76… |
| 05-05 18:26:34 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x047f05… |
| 05-05 18:14:24 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8fc977… |
| 05-05 16:09:46 | Essential-Chrome 0x9aaa…2b29 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6a2388… |
| 05-05 14:05:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x87bf94… |
| 05-05 11:46:50 | Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0277f9… |
| 05-05 10:51:42 | Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x131a19… |
| 05-05 08:30:14 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x353c9d… |
| 05-05 06:35:50 | Other-Dynamite 0x2efb…04af | Yes | BUY | 23 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf1fc7e… |
| 05-04 21:09:20 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb45644… |
| 05-04 20:09:44 | Frivolous-Casino 0xd617…9472 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xff78b0… |