Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$263
$6,710 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$4,785
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 07:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $121 | $116 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $65 | $9 | +$55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 5 | $10 | $31 | $21 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $67 | $66 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | +1,013 | $49 | $49 | 5 | 05-12 04:04 |
| Different-Barium 0xdd41…acf0 | Yes | +587 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 05-12 01:59 |
| Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | +346 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 21:49 |
| Unusual-Circadian 0x77ad…82bd | Yes | +165 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 10:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +86 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 17:38 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | +71 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 22:31 |
| Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Virtuous-Wifi 0x421f…0f9f | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f35…74e2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 21:31 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 21:28 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-11 21:49 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 14:09 |
| Faint-Concrete 0x0457…3856 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 07:16:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1de91a… |
| 05-12 05:24:28 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1adc9e… |
| 05-12 04:04:05 | Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | BUY | 484 | 6¢ | $27 | 0xa55b6c… |
| 05-12 03:17:49 | Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x13504f… |
| 05-12 02:54:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Shanty 0x5632…170b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa15b6a… |
| 05-12 02:02:57 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf72a6a… |
| 05-12 01:59:04 | Different-Barium 0xdd41…acf0 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x80ba09… |
| 05-12 01:59:04 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa984d9… |
| 05-12 01:18:39 | Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x9c3287… |
| 05-12 01:18:00 | Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x76be2c… |
| 05-12 01:03:53 | Bad-Chrome 0x1d1f…e428 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x845ebb… |
| 05-12 00:57:46 | Worse-Granola 0xe52c…016a | Yes | BUY | 447 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x2af9e8… |
| 05-11 23:03:35 | Faint-Concrete 0x0457…3856 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xe27a81… |
| 05-11 22:31:45 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x21df14… |
| 05-11 22:31:45 | All-Camp 0xacca…8996 | Yes | SELL | 539 | 3¢ | $16 | 0xee2a15… |
| 05-11 21:49:10 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x253854… |
| 05-11 21:49:09 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 346 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x3f941d… |
| 05-11 21:31:28 | (anonymous) 0x9f35…74e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7e9d41… |
| 05-11 21:28:21 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x495acd… |
| 05-11 21:28:19 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x65871c… |
| 05-11 17:38:52 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 86 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xc7c454… |
| 05-11 16:08:25 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x39dcbb… |
| 05-11 16:08:18 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xa10aaf… |
| 05-11 14:46:08 | Different-Barium 0xdd41…acf0 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 10¢ | $21 | 0xe0dbf9… |
| 05-11 14:09:16 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x92bbe8… |
| 05-11 13:04:33 | Different-Barium 0xdd41…acf0 | Yes | BUY | 268 | 5¢ | $13 | 0xd77fdf… |
| 05-11 10:12:54 | Unusual-Circadian 0x77ad…82bd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x23a04a… |
| 05-11 09:57:08 | Unusual-Circadian 0x77ad…82bd | Yes | BUY | 65 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xa9bb36… |
| 05-11 05:37:57 | Virtuous-Wifi 0x421f…0f9f | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xc20546… |
| 05-11 05:33:47 | Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x654f93… |