Unusual-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$860

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

418

Trades

1,668

lifetime

Volume

$70.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

97% 46% +$58

Politics

2% 29% -$814

Crypto

1% 14% -$103

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,671	1,671	+0	No	+$5	04-28 16:25
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 740plus	4	$2.2K	1,513	756	+756	No	+$8	01-18 14:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	4	$2.0K	2,050	0	+2,050	No	+$47	01-30 08:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,656	0	+1,656	No	+$2	04-26 04:46
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	3	$1.1K	617	617	+0	No	-$57	01-30 08:49
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	1	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	No	+$2	04-15 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	3	$1.1K	1,125	0	+1,125	No	+$25	05-12 10:00
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	2	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$8	01-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?	4	$1.0K	1,071	0	+1,071	No	+$22	06-29 04:44
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	No	+$9	02-10 16:53
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 700 719	2	$1.0K	508	508	+0	No	+$6	01-14 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$1.0K	516	515	+1	No	+$6	04-26 15:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 340 359	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$4	02-16 17:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$4	03-12 23:35
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 600 619	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$4	01-29 15:38
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 700 719	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$3	01-29 15:42
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$3	01-23 14:40
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$3	03-13 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$1	04-27 16:31
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	03-12 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	04-25 04:26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$1000	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$9	05-20 17:35
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 400 419	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	02-16 07:17
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	2	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$5	02-11 12:23
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	01-31 10:47
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 140 159	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	03-31 04:03
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	1	$1000	1,016	0	+1,016	No	+$16	04-15 04:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$5	04-29 04:11
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	2	$1000	1,013	0	+1,013	No	+$13	02-06 00:47
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 420 439	1	$1000	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$4	02-09 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x5b8907…
10-27 14:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xf8fc04…
10-27 14:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf884e3…
10-27 14:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb17295…
10-27 14:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0xc151d3…
10-27 14:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xda7591…
10-27 13:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x49a1bf…
10-27 13:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xf01e19…
10-27 13:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x2e2dc3…
10-27 13:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xab3ab7…
10-27 13:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x1033c2…
10-27 13:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	77¢	$26	0x7b09f6…
10-27 13:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xcdd31d…
10-27 13:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x07a29a…
10-27 12:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x6d10f8…
10-27 12:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x62b490…
10-27 12:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x59e591…
10-27 12:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	67¢	$29	0x5e6fe9…
10-27 11:33:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x4086b6…
10-27 07:19:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xd74753…
10-27 00:40:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xb39544…
10-26 11:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0x24e013…
10-26 11:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xac331a…
10-26 11:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x397e58…
10-26 11:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x8254f2…
10-26 11:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x62f646…
10-26 07:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x3b15c5…
10-26 07:32:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x12ef42…
10-26 07:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	26¢	$59	0x2c2502…
10-26 07:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xbe1a8c…
10-26 07:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xf39813…
10-26 07:22:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x109d96…
10-26 06:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xc82708…
10-26 06:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x2e8dc8…
10-26 06:39:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0x16bc8b…
10-25 18:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0xd6e987…
10-25 18:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xd4c8ba…
10-25 18:35:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0xfd39ba…
10-25 18:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0x5db88c…
10-25 16:04:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x7dfa1b…
10-25 15:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xb00da7…
10-25 14:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	38¢	$35	0xdf8944…
10-25 14:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x64f592…
10-25 14:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x751af2…
10-23 10:54:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x6035b3…
10-23 10:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xa4dad7…
10-23 04:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x2a3c4f…
10-23 04:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x216f29…
10-23 04:10:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ed244…
10-23 04:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfd5a9f…
10-23 04:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf7c8b8…
10-23 04:09:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe967ad…
10-23 04:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4d49c2…
10-23 04:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xf3befb…
10-23 04:08:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe49a71…
10-23 04:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x3dd3bc…
10-22 16:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x7903ab…
10-22 16:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x93d6c0…
10-22 09:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x384fce…
10-22 09:57:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x2cc12d…
10-22 00:43:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbbfa4c…
10-22 00:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa89cc2…
10-22 00:43:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc00b9e…
10-22 00:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x63f5a0…
10-22 00:42:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x468788…
10-21 15:50:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	32¢	$82	0x9b9a56…
10-21 15:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x513896…
10-21 15:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x667476…
10-21 15:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8ab686…
10-21 15:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x96b127…
10-21 15:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	30¢	$29	0xc84b9d…
10-21 15:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xbdf669…
10-21 15:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	30¢	$49	0x2f4d2b…
10-21 15:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x562eab…
10-21 04:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xe4af00…
10-21 04:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x978ada…
10-21 04:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0ea2ad…
10-21 04:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xc45883…
10-21 04:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4d85b2…
10-21 04:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xd9b0b1…
10-21 04:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$13	0x9d761a…
10-21 04:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x99a1c1…
10-21 04:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x79a57b…
10-20 12:41:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x879410…
10-20 10:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb1b778…
10-20 10:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb12416…
10-20 09:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2acbc7…
10-19 15:25:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x9e5900…
10-19 15:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	21¢	$12	0x8d9750…
10-19 15:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x563fe1…
10-19 15:13:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x099a3c…
10-19 15:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0x95b319…
10-19 14:47:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0x6f3920…
10-19 14:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xba7c8c…
10-19 14:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x81a157…
10-19 14:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	33¢	$17	0xed78da…
10-19 14:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x43451a…
10-19 14:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0xaca9f1…
10-19 07:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x028f04…
10-19 07:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd241b6…