Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-05-09?
open
Total volume
$1,064
$214 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$299,242
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 12:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.8¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $63
vs crowd: 30% YES on $192)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | $36 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $51 | $75 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $3 | $60 | $57 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $54 | $54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $6 | $13 | $7 |
| Median | 6 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Below median | 8 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilly-Surrounds 0x1d60…453d | No | +59 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Gripping-Diadem 0xa23f…a64e | Yes | +28 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| Competent-Ratepayer 0xa584…03ac | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43a…884e | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x77e1…bfa6 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Glaring-Volunteering 0xc484…5730 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5057…499d | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Distant-Resolve 0xb825…bc2b | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Weekly-Diffuse 0xea20…af4c | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 10:25 |
| Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 11:20 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 11:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 11:20 |
| Boiling-Men-Academics 0x001e…94ff | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Humiliating-Comic 0x20ca…8e65 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d43…d0dd | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb0a…6e9d | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb533…2065 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 10:35 |
| Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:25 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 11:45 |
| Lumpy-Locket 0x7d46…1a6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 11:20 |
| Constant-Router 0x2baf…f66e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5859…9f8d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa497…7891 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ce3…1a0d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 06:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:47:15 | Enormous-Addition 0xc036…30d4 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x655b55… |
| 05-09 12:29:19 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xf8d7da… |
| 05-09 12:00:39 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8dadf9… |
| 05-09 12:00:32 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdb87bf… |
| 05-09 11:50:31 | (anonymous) 0xe941…a496 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x913bf9… |
| 05-09 11:50:30 | (anonymous) 0xa497…7891 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xa67fb5… |
| 05-09 11:50:28 | Regal-Relaxation 0x1532…1856 | No | SELL | 840 | 96¢ | $806 | 0x477031… |
| 05-09 11:50:28 | Lumpy-Locket 0x7d46…1a6b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x655762… |
| 05-09 11:50:26 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1dbe1e… |
| 05-09 11:50:14 | (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xf4b72c… |
| 05-09 11:45:18 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xf87838… |
| 05-09 11:45:13 | Competent-Ratepayer 0xa584…03ac | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x733c3e… |
| 05-09 11:40:14 | Chilly-Surrounds 0x1d60…453d | No | BUY | 59 | 85¢ | $50 | 0xeb9e7e… |
| 05-09 11:40:03 | Wavy-Editing 0xa5ec…3630 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x9481a8… |
| 05-09 11:40:03 | Wavy-Editing 0xa5ec…3630 | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x98e96f… |
| 05-09 11:40:00 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x5ee799… |
| 05-09 11:35:30 | (anonymous) 0xd43a…884e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x3983cf… |
| 05-09 11:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xdb0a…6e9d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x2b1b9b… |
| 05-09 11:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xb533…2065 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xcb20c0… |
| 05-09 11:35:28 | Boiling-Men-Academics 0x001e…94ff | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xbcc783… |
| 05-09 11:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x5859…9f8d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x36ff19… |
| 05-09 11:35:27 | Glaring-Volunteering 0xc484…5730 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0xc362a9… |
| 05-09 11:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x5057…499d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x3f0385… |
| 05-09 11:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x77e1…bfa6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x3b8e29… |
| 05-09 11:35:25 | Distant-Resolve 0xb825…bc2b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x9c0e55… |
| 05-09 11:35:09 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x8c9301… |
| 05-09 11:30:05 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x10ff29… |
| 05-09 11:25:19 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xbc0fc7… |
| 05-09 11:20:29 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x5907f1… |
| 05-09 11:20:15 | Scientific-Answer 0xc87a…2ddd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x9af3e0… |
| 05-09 11:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xcbe313… |
| 05-09 11:20:10 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x9916c3… |
| 05-09 11:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x547921… |
| 05-09 11:20:03 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9434f1… |
| 05-09 11:15:21 | (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x3d8286… |
| 05-09 11:15:21 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xd63d08… |
| 05-09 11:15:14 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xda5545… |
| 05-09 11:10:06 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x0ea3c2… |
| 05-09 11:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xb6faea… |
| 05-09 10:49:55 | Constant-Router 0x2baf…f66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x58284b… |
| 05-09 10:39:55 | Gripping-Diadem 0xa23f…a64e | Yes | BUY | 28 | 32¢ | $9 | 0x473b68… |
| 05-09 10:35:18 | Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xea229d… |
| 05-09 10:25:25 | Weekly-Diffuse 0xea20…af4c | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x689203… |
| 05-09 10:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x6d43…d0dd | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x53b798… |
| 05-08 06:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x9ce3…1a0d | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xe48988… |
| 05-08 05:59:53 | Humiliating-Comic 0x20ca…8e65 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x19bc52… |