Scientific-Answer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

18,425

Trades

47,281

lifetime

Volume

$197.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 54% +$5,954

Other

3% 45% -$48

Sports

1% 54% -$103

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1419 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	—	+30	$17	99¢	$30	+$13	10-27 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	—	+22	$14	1¢	$0	-$13	10-27 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	—	+11	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-27 07:32
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	—	+10	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	10-27 07:30
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	—	+9	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-27 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:55 UTC	121	$272	542	0	+542	Down	-$14	03-23 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:20 UTC	119	$259	509	5	+504	Up	$0	03-24 22:24
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	100	$257	518	0	+518	New York Mets	+$4	05-17 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	36	$232	440	33	+407	Down	+$2	10-11 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	14	$222	405	0	+405	Up	-$27	10-16 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:55 UTC	99	$215	424	0	+424	Down	-$5	03-23 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:35 UTC	101	$206	415	0	+415	Up	+$14	03-24 23:39
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	78	$201	393	0	+393	Milwaukee Brewers	-$4	05-17 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 00:00 UTC	78	$190	379	0	+379	Up	-$25	03-23 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	11	$189	341	0	+341	Down	+$26	10-20 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:55 UTC	13	$188	396	0	+396	Down	+$54	10-16 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	11	$185	320	0	+320	Up	+$5	10-24 06:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:40 UTC	87	$183	367	0	+367	Down	-$12	03-24 23:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	9	$183	269	0	+269	Down	-$56	10-17 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	11	$170	307	0	+307	Up	-$34	10-23 17:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	30	$167	318	0	+318	Down	+$1	10-11 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:05 UTC	73	$164	308	0	+308	Up	-$10	03-23 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:50 UTC	73	$162	324	0	+324	Up	-$4	03-24 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	28	$158	305	0	+305	Up	+$0	10-10 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	11	$158	302	0	+302	Down	-$2	10-25 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:55 UTC	74	$158	308	8	+300	Down	-$1	03-24 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:55 UTC	74	$156	303	3	+300	Up	-$4	03-24 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:10 UTC	8	$155	236	0	+236	Up	-$18	10-18 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	54	$153	307	0	+307	Up	+$5	10-04 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 22:45 UTC	72	$150	296	3	+293	Up	-$3	03-24 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	7	$147	231	0	+231	Down	+$12	10-22 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$145	218	0	+218	Up	-$17	10-27 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:10 UTC	71	$144	288	0	+288	Up	+$6	03-24 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$143	242	0	+242	Up	-$53	10-21 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:30 UTC	71	$141	277	3	+274	Up	-$16	03-24 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:32:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x9e1742…
10-27 07:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1f8f84…
10-27 07:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xc48cac…
10-27 07:30:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbe78aa…
10-27 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	61¢	$14	0x16226f…
10-27 07:28:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x48ea3c…
10-27 07:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x47558a…
10-27 07:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2d6c91…
10-27 07:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa53cb5…
10-27 07:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x9778e7…
10-27 07:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xa7a5e8…
10-27 07:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xdaf23f…
10-27 07:13:59	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xc492ec…
10-27 07:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x39554f…
10-27 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xeeb60c…
10-27 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	71¢	$23	0x4833d1…
10-27 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x28a301…
10-27 07:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xff5bd8…
10-27 07:10:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x328d68…
10-27 07:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x35a850…
10-27 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x926eb0…
10-27 07:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x149dc7…
10-27 07:05:45	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd65af3…
10-27 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xaef837…
10-27 07:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xa2e63d…
10-27 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x356623…
10-27 07:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x1c7f9e…
10-27 07:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xee1e0e…
10-27 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7edc76…
10-27 06:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x5ca15b…
10-27 06:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xf7b8ad…
10-27 06:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcd3929…
10-27 06:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb90847…
10-27 06:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1f2c20…
10-27 06:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc8d055…
10-27 06:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xa082a9…
10-27 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x5cd9a0…
10-27 06:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd084ed…
10-27 06:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0xd4348e…
10-27 06:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa6cd4e…
10-27 06:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xb56d1f…
10-27 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xca52bb…
10-27 06:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6ee218…
10-27 06:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x308624…
10-27 06:30:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x63aaa3…
10-27 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x3f645f…
10-27 06:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x0c65e0…
10-27 06:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x8df3a7…
10-27 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x590953…
10-27 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x440607…
10-27 06:09:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x1ffc80…
10-27 06:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0x75a9e4…
10-27 06:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd5bd72…
10-27 06:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa956cd…
10-27 06:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x59df3b…
10-27 06:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9fdb4d…
10-27 06:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3570f3…
10-27 06:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x801cda…
10-27 06:00:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2b6cdf…
10-27 05:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xfeea06…
10-27 05:43:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1e67db…
10-27 05:43:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x889ed9…
10-27 05:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb42ce8…
10-27 05:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x93b870…
10-27 05:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x922f0e…
10-27 05:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x1f4bcc…
10-27 05:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xbcce2e…
10-27 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x2cab1c…
10-27 05:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x53aa20…
10-27 05:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xfffc3f…
10-27 05:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x05bd5f…
10-27 05:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x202e64…
10-27 05:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x5025e0…
10-27 05:28:26	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc3b41a…
10-27 05:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x366eaf…
10-27 05:28:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5b26b0…
10-27 05:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0047a5…
10-27 05:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xeeef8f…
10-27 05:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb7a932…
10-27 05:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xaa1d46…
10-27 05:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x74166d…
10-27 05:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x0ee86d…
10-27 05:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x3235db…
10-27 05:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x72666a…
10-27 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xf26434…
10-27 05:18:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xff2980…
10-27 05:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcf8e95…
10-27 05:18:54	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd9d208…
10-27 05:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0xd352d3…
10-27 05:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x8b56f0…
10-27 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xace00f…
10-27 05:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x07ee86…
10-27 05:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x8749df…
10-27 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb892e5…
10-27 05:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0xdf4f58…
10-27 05:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x771b45…
10-27 05:13:18	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x619f74…
10-27 05:12:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaaba66…
10-27 05:12:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6d5cf7…
10-27 05:08:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe5913f…