Game Spread: Alex Michelsen (-3.5) vs Yannick Hanfmann (+3.5)
Alex Michelsen won
Total volume
$2,822
$2,728 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$12,812
Latest YES mid
69¢
Latest NO mid
31¢
End date
2026-11-16
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-09 13:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-44.4¢
(top1%: 10% YES on $882
vs crowd: 54% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $908 | $372 | +$535 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $435 | $904 | $469 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $175 | $6 | +$169 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $88 | $794 | $706 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $165 | $1 | +$164 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $50 | $485 | $435 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1.2K | $2 | +$1.2K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xad0b…a514 | Alex Michelsen | +1,000 | $520 | $520 | 1 | 11-09 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf88…e33d | Yannick Hanfmann | +1,000 | $480 | $480 | 1 | 11-09 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c57…a7de | Yannick Hanfmann | +900 | $424 | $424 | 4 | 11-09 11:44 |
| Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | +794 | $370 | $370 | 6 | 11-09 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3705…9677 | Alex Michelsen | +574 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 11-09 09:46 |
| Flawed-Infinite 0x081e…f76e | Alex Michelsen | +553 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 11-09 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fb4…c2c4 | Alex Michelsen | +311 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 11-09 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb904…3ef8 | Alex Michelsen | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 11-09 10:17 |
| Prickly-Insurgence 0xc774…f218 | Alex Michelsen | +80 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 11-09 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf38e…b225 | Alex Michelsen | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 11-09 13:07 |
| Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de | Alex Michelsen | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-09 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yannick Hanfmann | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-09 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | Yannick Hanfmann | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-09 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa593…aa46 | Alex Michelsen | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x43a1…c2aa | Alex Michelsen | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbffd…6741 | Yannick Hanfmann | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-09 12:22 |
| Round-Period 0x634d…f0d0 | Alex Michelsen | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 13:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 13:07:16 | Round-Period 0x634d…f0d0 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xef22c0… |
| 11-09 13:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xf38e…b225 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0xef22c0… |
| 11-09 13:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xfb57…6719 | Alex Michelsen | SELL | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0xef22c0… |
| 11-09 12:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x3842d6… |
| 11-09 12:30:45 | Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x3842d6… |
| 11-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0x43a1…c2aa | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x106c83… |
| 11-09 12:22:57 | (anonymous) 0xbffd…6741 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x106c83… |
| 11-09 11:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xad0b…a514 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 1,000 | 52¢ | $520 | 0xca5153… |
| 11-09 11:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xbf88…e33d | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 1,000 | 48¢ | $480 | 0xca5153… |
| 11-09 11:44:15 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 153 | 45¢ | $69 | 0xdce40a… |
| 11-09 11:44:15 | Flawed-Infinite 0x081e…f76e | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 553 | 54¢ | $300 | 0xdce40a… |
| 11-09 11:44:15 | (anonymous) 0x4c57…a7de | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 400 | 46¢ | $184 | 0xdce40a… |
| 11-09 10:17:55 | (anonymous) 0xb904…3ef8 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0xc12d42… |
| 11-09 10:17:55 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0xc12d42… |
| 11-09 09:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xa593…aa46 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x63e9e5… |
| 11-09 09:59:00 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0x63e9e5… |
| 11-09 09:46:37 | Prickly-Insurgence 0xc774…f218 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 80 | 53¢ | $42 | 0x9ed2cc… |
| 11-09 09:46:37 | (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x9ed2cc… |
| 11-09 09:46:37 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 75 | 47¢ | $35 | 0x9ed2cc… |
| 11-09 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x4c57…a7de | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 300 | 48¢ | $144 | 0xe6a675… |
| 11-09 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xe6a675… |
| 11-09 09:46:04 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 146 | 47¢ | $69 | 0xe6a675… |
| 11-09 09:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x3705…9677 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 574 | 52¢ | $300 | 0xe6a675… |
| 11-09 09:23:40 | (anonymous) 0xfb57…6719 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 77 | 52¢ | $40 | 0x26bf05… |
| 11-09 09:23:40 | (anonymous) 0x4c57…a7de | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 77 | 48¢ | $37 | 0x26bf05… |
| 11-09 05:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x1fb4…c2c4 | Alex Michelsen | BUY | 311 | 53¢ | $165 | 0x32539e… |
| 11-09 05:02:22 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 311 | 47¢ | $146 | 0x32539e… |